Stock daily read

What happened with MOV today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

MOV in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Movado Group sells watches under owned brands such as MOVADO, MVMT and OLIVIA BURTON, and licensed names such as COACH, TOMMY HILFIGER, BOSS and CALVIN KLEIN. It also sells jewelry and accessories, though watches are its main business. The company develops and markets the products but relies on independent manufacturers rather than making them itself. Most products come from China.

Most revenue comes from selling products wholesale to retailers and independent distributors, which then sell them to consumers. Jewelry chains and department stores account for a large portion of wholesale sales. Movado also sells directly to shoppers through its own websites and outlet stores, providing a smaller revenue stream.

Licensed brands generate most of the company's sales, although it does not depend substantially on any single licensed brand. These businesses require permission from the brand owners: agreements carry minimum royalty and advertising commitments, and losing or failing to renew a license would remove the right to sell under that name. Sales also depend on holiday shopping, with Christmas and local holidays shaping demand across its markets.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in MOV’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

MOV says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Movado Group’s results hinge on demand for licensed-brand watches and holiday retail spending, with Swatch Group an important competitor missing from this list.

  • Fossil Group competes with Movado Group for much the same buyers, selling owned-brand and licensed fashion watches to wholesale customers and directly through stores and online. Its watch sales are the line to watch for demand in the market both serve.

  • Signet Jewelers buys Movado Group watches to sell to consumers through its jewelry stores and websites, so it is both a customer and a window into the gift spending both depend on. Watch its holiday jewelry and watch sales for signs of shoppers’ willingness to spend on gifts.

  • Garmin competes for consumers’ wristwear spending with fitness smartwatches and outdoor watches, while Movado Group sells traditional watches. Watch demand for Garmin’s watches rather than its company-wide results to gauge this competition.

Agenda

in 24 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced

    Fossil Group, Inc. earningsFOSL

    Fossil Group’s report will show whether shoppers are still buying the fashion watches it and Movado Group both sell.

in 29 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much consumers spend in stores and online; stronger purchases can lift orders from Movado’s wholesale customers and sales of its watches and accessories through its own stores and websites.

in 36 daysTue, Nov 24

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Movado Group, Inc. earningsThis company

    Movado Group’s report will show whether its watch business is gaining support from both owned and licensed brands, or still relying mainly on licensed brands for growth.

in 43 daysTue, Dec 1

  1. Time to be announced

    Signet Jewelers Limited earningsSIG

    Signet Jewelers’ report will show how shoppers are spending on holiday watches and jewelry at a retailer that buys Movado Group watches.