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What happened with LTRX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LTRX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Lantronix Inc supplies hardware, software and services for drones, critical-infrastructure monitoring and enterprise networks. Equipment manufacturers build its computing and connectivity modules into their own products; businesses also buy complete systems to connect and oversee equipment. Most sales go through distributors that resell to other sales partners and end customers. Winning a place in a manufacturer's product can bring orders throughout that product's life, while complete-system sales often depend on individual projects.

Lantronix also earns recurring revenue from software and support services. Its Percepxion cloud platform manages connected equipment, including gateways used by a major U.S. mobile-network operator to monitor backup-power systems at cell sites. Nero Global Tracking provides GPS-based vehicle and asset tracking for fleet operators, municipalities and industrial customers. The company is working to expand recurring software and services revenue.

Sales depend on a relatively small group of distributors and customers, with one customer contributing a significant share. Lantronix owns no manufacturing facilities and relies on outside manufacturers and some single-source components to deliver products. Its drone and defense business also depends partly on customers winning government contracts. Eligibility for government procurement can require compliance with rules restricting certain foreign-sourced components, while wireless-product sales in some markets require regulatory approval.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LTRX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
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Moat

LTRX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Digi International and Lantronix compete for equipment makers’ and enterprises’ spending on embedded connectivity modules, industrial networking equipment and remote device management. Watch Digi’s IoT Products & Services revenue and subscription push for clues to demand in these overlapping markets.

  • Semtech competes with Lantronix to supply device makers, enterprises and solution providers with IoT connectivity modules, gateways, routers and connected services. Its IoT Systems and Connectivity sales are the relevant demand signal for Lantronix, rather than its other semiconductor businesses.

  • Airgain competes with Lantronix in embedded connectivity, gateways and asset tracking with cloud device management, serving enterprise and vehicle customers. Watch Airgain’s asset trackers and AirgainConnect Fleet, along with whether its cloud offerings generate recurring revenue; Lantronix’s Nero Global Tracking serves fleet operators, municipalities and industrial customers across North America.

  • Inseego competes for enterprise connectivity spending with cellular routers, gateways and cloud software that overlap Lantronix’s IoT systems and management software. Watch its Fixed Wireless Access Solutions and SaaS offerings for signs of demand for cellular connectivity managed through the cloud.

  • Silicom and Lantronix compete to have their edge hardware built into equipment makers’ networking and data-infrastructure products. Watch Silicom’s edge-platform design wins: Lantronix’s embedded designs typically take nine to 24 months to secure and can then earn revenue throughout the customer product’s life.

  • Ericsson’s Cradlepoint business competes with Lantronix to provide enterprise and vehicle customers with gateways that connect their equipment through cellular networks. Cradlepoint’s enterprise and vehicle deployments are the relevant area to watch for this rivalry.

  • Cisco and Lantronix compete for enterprise and industrial customers’ connectivity spending, but Cisco’s broader networking portfolio makes it a less focused comparison. Watch Cisco’s switching, routing and wireless business rather than treating its security and collaboration results as signals for Lantronix.

  • Lantronix depends on Marvell to manage production in Taiwan of large-scale-integration chips used in its outsourced product supply chain; Marvell sells chip designs while outside manufacturers make them. Watch news about that chip production, rather than Marvell’s overall revenue, for the direct connection to Lantronix’s supply.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Fed rate decisions matter to Lantronix because its floating-rate SVB facility and term loan are tied to the Prime Rate, affecting what it pays when it borrows.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Silicom Ltd earningsSILC

    Silicom's report will show whether equipment makers are still choosing edge-network platforms and how actively it is competing with Lantronix for embedded designs.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lantronix Inc earningsThis company

    Lantronix sells embedded products, IoT systems and software services, and this report will show whether those sales are turning into more gross profit after product costs.

  2. Time to be announced

    Inseego Corp. earningsINSG

    Inseego's report will show demand for cellular routers and cloud-managed services, spending that overlaps with Lantronix's IoT systems and management software.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    Airgain, Inc. earningsAIRG

    Airgain's report will show whether fleet customers are buying connected trackers and cloud services, spending that overlaps with Lantronix's Nero Global Tracking business.

in 42 daysTue, Dec 1

  1. Time to be announced

    Marvell Technology, Inc. earningsMRVL

    Marvell Technology manages Taiwan production of some large-scale-integration chips in Lantronix's outsourced supply chain, so production updates could signal whether those chips remain available.