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What happened with LSCC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

LSCC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Lattice Semiconductor supplies chips whose logic customers can configure with software, known as field-programmable gate arrays, or FPGAs. Equipment manufacturers use them in products such as servers, networking equipment, factory automation and automotive electronics. Lattice provides tools including Radiant and Propel to help customers build their designs. Communications and computing account for most revenue, followed by industrial and automotive applications.

Most sales flow through distributors, with two distributors together accounting for the majority of revenue. These partners buy Lattice’s products, hold inventory and serve equipment manufacturers. Lattice also earns fees and royalties from technology licensing and provides design services. Chip demand depends on manufacturers choosing Lattice for their designs and bringing those products into volume production.

Lattice relies on outside foundries, including Samsung and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, to make its chips. It outsources all assembly and testing, primarily to ASE. Deliveries therefore depend on these manufacturing partners. U.S. export controls also restrict some business: sales to a particular customer in China, or for that customer’s products, require a license.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in LSCC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

LSCC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
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  • Moderate
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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond this list, watch FPGA rival Altera, Samsung’s wafer production for Lattice’s Nexus chips, and ASE, Lattice’s primary chip assembly-and-test supplier.

  • Microchip competes with Lattice to sell software-configurable logic chips, or FPGAs, to industrial, automotive, computing and communications equipment designers. Its FPGA products’ power use and development tools are worth watching as customers choose chips for their equipment.

  • AMD competes with Lattice to have equipment makers choose its software-configurable logic chips, or FPGAs, for embedded, industrial and communications systems. Watch its FPGA offerings within Embedded rather than treating its data-center business as a direct measure of this rivalry.

  • QuickLogic Corp competes with Lattice in stand-alone software-configurable logic chips, or FPGAs, including low-power devices for industrial and computing systems. Watch its discrete-chip sales separately from fees for letting semiconductor designers embed its logic technology in their own chips.

  • Lattice pays UMC and its Japanese subsidiary to fabricate wafers at 130nm, 90nm, 65nm and 40nm, including processes with embedded flash memory. Wafer volumes and prices negotiated with UMC are the concrete link to Lattice’s supply and manufacturing costs.

  • Lattice relies on TSMC to manufacture its 16nm Avant and Nexus 2 chips, as well as products at older process nodes, from its chip designs. Watch wafer capacity and the volumes and prices Lattice negotiates for these platforms, rather than TSMC’s newest processes alone.

  • Lattice pays Amkor to assemble its chips and perform final testing and quality assurance in Asia. Amkor is a qualified major assembly partner, so watch the assembly volumes and prices Lattice negotiates with it; ASE remains the primary supplier.

  • Marvell and Lattice both sell chips for data-center and networking equipment, tying them to investment in that infrastructure: Marvell supplies networking and other data-infrastructure silicon, while Lattice supplies configurable logic for servers and wireline networks. Watch Marvell’s data-center revenue for a read on the market behind Lattice’s stronger server demand.

  • Analog Devices and Lattice share exposure to industrial and automotive electronics manufacturers: Analog Devices sells analog and signal-processing chips, while Lattice sells software-configurable logic chips, or FPGAs. Their different products reach the same customer groups, making industrial and automotive demand the useful comparison.

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  • Texas Instruments and Lattice both depend on orders from industrial and automotive equipment makers, though TI sells analog and embedded-processing chips and Lattice sells software-configurable logic chips, or FPGAs. TI’s demand from those equipment makers is the relevant comparison for Lattice, not a direct FPGA rivalry.

  • Nvidia and Lattice both benefit from investment in AI servers: Nvidia sells accelerated-computing and networking platforms, while Lattice sells software-configurable logic chips used in AI-specific servers. Watch Nvidia’s Data Center business for the server-demand backdrop, not as evidence that Nvidia buys Lattice chips.

  • Broadcom and Lattice both sell into server and networking equipment investment: Broadcom supplies networking and server semiconductors, while Lattice supplies software-configurable logic chips for servers and communications equipment. Broadcom’s Networking Connectivity and Servers and Storage Systems businesses are more relevant to this link than its infrastructure software.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Texas Instruments Incorporated earningsTXN

    Texas Instruments’ report will show whether industrial and automotive equipment makers are ordering more steadily or remain cautious, a demand signal for customer groups that also buy Lattice Semiconductor chips.

in 7 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Amkor Technology Inc earningsAMKR

    Amkor Technology’s report will show activity and cost conditions in assembly and final testing, offering a read on the Asian outsourced assembly and test work it performs for Lattice Semiconductor.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    United Microelectronic Corp. earningsUMC

    UMC’s report will show demand, capacity and cost conditions in wafer manufacturing, offering a read on the mature-node wafers it supplies to Lattice Semiconductor.

in 14 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Lattice Semiconductor Corp earningsThis company

    Lattice Semiconductor’s report will show whether demand for its server and networking chips can keep offsetting weakness in industrial and automotive markets while supporting gross margin.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Microchip Technology Inc earningsMCHP

    Microchip Technology’s report will show demand and competition for programmable-logic chips among equipment designers, directly relevant to Lattice Semiconductor’s contest for similar design wins.

in 43 daysTue, Dec 1

  1. Time to be announced

    Marvell Technology, Inc. earningsMRVL

    Marvell Technology’s report will show the strength of data-center and networking investment, a market read-through for Lattice Semiconductor’s chips used in servers and wireline networks.