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What happened with JAKK today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

JAKK in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Toys and children’s consumer products generate most of JAKKS Pacific’s revenue. Its smaller Disguise business sells costumes and accessories for Halloween and other dress-up occasions. The company develops the products and hires independent manufacturers, primarily in China, to make them. Retailers and wholesalers buy the finished goods; Target and Walmart together account for most of its sales. It also sells through online retailers, including Amazon.

Products using licensed brands account for nearly all sales, and a limited number of licensors supply a significant share of the business. JAKKS Pacific pays royalties for those rights, often with minimum payments even when product sales are weak. Licensors generally approve designs before sale and can restrict where products are sold and how long inventory may be sold after a license expires. The business therefore depends on retaining relevant licenses and on consumer demand for the brands behind its products.

Retail demand peaks ahead of the year-end holidays, while JAKKS Pacific ships much of its merchandise earlier so customers have time to import it. Disguise depends especially on Halloween. This timing makes demand forecasting and timely production important. Products must also meet consumer-product safety laws; U.S. regulators can require hazardous products to be recalled, repaired or replaced.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in JAKK’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

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  • Could go wrong
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Moat

JAKK says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Beyond this list, JAKKS Pacific also depends heavily on Target’s orders, demand for Nintendo and Sega merchandise, and the cost of sourcing toys and costumes from China.

  • Mattel competes with JAKKS Pacific for retail sales of dolls, toy vehicles, action figures and other children’s toys, putting pressure on shelf space and margins. Mattel’s sales in those overlapping categories are worth watching for signs of the competition JAKKS faces.

  • Hasbro competes with JAKKS Pacific to sell toys to retailers and secure brand licenses and shelf space. Watch Hasbro’s Consumer Products business, including BEYBLADE and TRANSFORMERS, rather than treating growth in its substantial gaming businesses as a signal for JAKKS toys.

  • Funko and JAKKS Pacific compete to sell licensed figures and plush, and both need entertainment characters to attract merchandise buyers. Funko’s sales of products based on enduring franchises offer a read on that demand; these properties accounted for about 69% of its 2025 sales.

  • JAKKS Pacific relies on Disney’s permission to use its characters in toys, so Disney’s film-release slate matters to JAKKS’ merchandise sales. Watch The Walt Disney Company’s theatrical releases: limited releases contributed to lower JAKKS Disney Princess and Style Collection sales in 2025.

  • Walmart buys JAKKS Pacific’s products to resell to shoppers, and Walmart and its subsidiaries accounted for 26.1% of JAKKS’ 2025 net sales. Its ordering and inventory decisions matter directly to JAKKS; watch for reduced orders or demands for lower prices, since JAKKS has no customer commitments beyond outstanding product purchase orders.

Agenda

tomorrowTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Hasbro, Inc. earningsHAS

    Hasbro’s Consumer Products report will show how retailers are responding to its toys and how much pressure it adds to JAKKS Pacific’s fight for shelf space and licenses.

in 3 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Jakks Pacific Inc earningsThis company

    JAKKS Pacific’s report will show whether retailer orders for its toys and costumes are supporting sales and profit.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Funko, Inc. earningsFNKO

    Funko’s report will show whether buyers still want merchandise based on enduring entertainment franchises, a demand signal for JAKKS Pacific’s licensed toys and plush.

in 29 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. Time to be announced

    The Walt Disney Company earningsDIS

    Disney’s report will show whether its theatrical releases are drawing audiences and attention to characters that JAKKS Pacific turns into licensed toys.

  2. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much consumers spend in stores and online; stronger demand for JAKKS Pacific’s toys and Disguise costumes can support retailer orders and JAKKS sales, while weaker demand can reduce orders.

in 31 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    Walmart Inc. earningsWMT

    Walmart’s report will show whether this major retailer’s sales and inventory support replenishing products, affecting JAKKS Pacific’s orders and pricing pressure.