Stock daily read

What happened with HRI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HRI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Herc Holdings Inc. supplies equipment that customers need for construction, industrial operations and maintenance without having to buy and maintain it themselves. It uses the Herc Rentals name and serves North America, mainly the United States. Contractors and industrial customers together provide most rental revenue. Customers pay to use equipment by the day, week or month, from aerial lifts and earthmoving machinery to ProSolutions power-generation and climate-control equipment.

Rentals generate most revenue. Herc also provides delivery, pickup and equipment support, and sells used rental equipment to adjust the fleet’s size, age and mix. Sales of new equipment, parts and supplies are smaller additions to the rental business.

The business depends on customers’ construction, capital-investment and maintenance spending, with rental demand generally lower in winter. National accounts using equipment on large, complex projects supply a substantial share of rental revenue and tend to rent for longer periods, but their contracts generally do not require them to rent from Herc. No individual customer dominates revenue, and virtually all customers can end a rental without penalty by returning the equipment.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HRI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HRI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • United Rentals competes with Herc for North American construction and industrial customers renting construction, aerial and industrial equipment. Its general-rentals revenue is worth watching for changes in demand from those shared customer groups.

  • Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. competes with Herc across North America, renting general construction and industrial equipment and offering specialty rental solutions. Watch its North American General Tool and Specialty revenue separately to distinguish competition in broad equipment rentals from specialty offerings.

  • WillScot Holdings Corporation shares Herc’s exposure to North American construction, infrastructure and industrial project spending: customers lease temporary space and portable storage from WillScot and equipment from Herc. Watch revenue from its construction and infrastructure customers for a read on an end market both serve.

  • Alta Equipment Group Inc. gives equipment users in overlapping regional markets an alternative to Herc, selling as well as renting earthmoving, material-handling and aerial equipment. Its equipment-rental revenue is the closest comparison with Herc’s business; Alta also earns money from equipment sales, parts and repairs.

  • Terex Corporation’s sales to national rental companies offer a view of fleet investment relevant to Herc: aerial equipment made up 26% of Herc’s rental fleet original cost at December 31, 2025. Watch Terex’s aerial-equipment sales to those rental companies, without assuming Herc is a disclosed customer.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    Herc Holdings rents equipment to contractors, who generated about 38% of its rental revenue, so homebuilding activity can affect contractors’ rental demand and the revenue Herc earns from equipment rentals.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    United Rentals, Inc. earningsURI

    United Rentals' general-rentals revenue will show how demand is changing among North American construction and industrial customers that also rent from Herc.

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Herc Holdings Inc. earningsThis company

    Herc earns most of its revenue by renting equipment, so this report will show whether customer rentals are supporting the cost of carrying and serving its fleet.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Terex Corporation earningsTEX

    Terex's aerial-equipment sales to national rental companies will show whether the industry is investing in a category that made up 26% of Herc's fleet original equipment cost.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Herc Holdings rents equipment to contractors and industrial customers, and higher borrowing costs can raise interest on its floating-rate debt, leaving less cash for fleet purchases and debt service.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial customers generated about 25% of Herc Holdings’ equipment-rental revenue, so factory, mine and utility activity can affect their equipment use and the rentals they buy from Herc.