Stock daily read

What happened with HNVR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HNVR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Hanover Bancorp, Inc. serves individuals, businesses and local governments mainly in the New York metropolitan area through Hanover Community Bank. It gathers deposits and lends to people buying or investing in property and businesses needing financing. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank keeps the difference after paying interest on deposits and other funding. This is its main source of income. Most loans are secured by real estate, including commercial properties and residential mortgages; its residential lending focuses on borrowers using alternative income documentation.

The bank also earns money by selling loans. It generally sells the federally guaranteed portion of loans made under the Small Business Administration’s programs, earning a sale premium while retaining loan servicing and the associated income. It keeps the unguaranteed portion. Some residential mortgages are also originated for sale rather than kept on its books. These sales depend on buyer demand, and SBA lending depends on federal program rules and funding.

Long Island municipalities supply a substantial part of its deposits, though no single municipal customer dominates. The business depends on retaining those deposits at workable costs, the gap between lending and funding rates, and borrowers’ ability to repay in a heavily New York-area property portfolio. Banking capital requirements also constrain growth, activities and dividends.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HNVR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HNVR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Orange County Bancorp, through Orange Bank & Trust, competes with Hanover for New York metropolitan businesses’ loans and deposits, including deposits from local governments. Its business and municipal deposit relationships are the area to watch for competition with Hanover’s funding base.

  • Princeton Bancorp, through The Bank of Princeton, competes with Hanover to lend to homebuyers, apartment-property owners and businesses in selected New York metropolitan markets. Watch its lending in those markets rather than its broader business around Princeton for the closest comparison with Hanover.

  • Home BancShares, through Centennial Bank’s New York City lending platform, competes with Hanover for loans to metropolitan New York property owners and businesses. Its Centennial CFG commercial-property and business lending is the relevant business to watch, rather than its separate marine-loan division.

  • CUSTOMERS BANCORP INC, through Customers Bank’s nationally offered lending products, competes with Hanover for small-business borrowers, including loans backed by the Small Business Administration (SBA), as well as residential and commercial-property loans. Its small-business and SBA lending is the clearest area to watch against Hanover’s lending to small businesses.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    CUSTOMERS BANCORP INC earningsCUBI

    Customers Bancorp's report will show whether its small-business and SBA lending is expanding, where it competes with Hanover for borrowers.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Hanover Bancorp, Inc. earningsThis company

    Hanover Bancorp earns interest on loans and other assets and pays interest on deposits; this report will show whether the gap holds up as borrowers repay.

  2. Time to be announced

    Orange County Bancorp, Inc. earningsOBT

    Orange County Bancorp's report will show how its business and municipal deposits and funding costs are changing, revealing the competition Hanover faces for local deposits.

  3. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision tracks the cost of borrowing across the economy; it matters to Hanover because changes can make interest on its loans and other earning assets grow or fall differently from what it pays on deposits and borrowings, changing net interest income.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Princeton Bancorp, Inc. earningsBPRN

    Princeton Bancorp's report will show how home, apartment-property and business lending is changing in New York metropolitan markets where it competes with Hanover.