Stock daily read

What happened with HE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

HE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Hawaiian Electric Industries is a holding company whose electric utilities generate nearly all its revenue. Hawaiian Electric, Hawaii Electric Light and Maui Electric generate and buy power, then deliver it to customers on Oahu, Hawaii, Maui, Lanai and Molokai. Customers pay electricity bills; federal government agencies are a notable customer group. The island grids are not interconnected, and power supply relies heavily on fuel oil and electricity purchased from independent producers.

The Hawaii Public Utilities Commission controls electricity rates and which costs the utilities can recover from customers. Their framework sets net revenue independently of the volume of electricity sold, with approved adjustments and performance incentives. Fuel and purchased-power charges pass most of those costs through to customers, so earnings depend on regulatory decisions and cost recovery, not simply on selling more electricity.

At the parent-company level, cash comes mainly from utility dividends, borrowing and share sales. Contractual and regulatory rules restrict transfers from the utilities, and cash dividends to the parent were restricted at the end of 2025. The Maui wildfire settlement also creates substantial funding needs: the company has raised funds for the first installment and is seeking additional capital for the remaining payments.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in HE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

HE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Hawaiian Electric Industries’ results hinge on wildfire-related financing constraints and Hawaii regulators’ approval to recover investment and operating costs across isolated, oil-dependent electricity grids.

  • Edison International and Hawaiian Electric Industries both own utilities that supply electricity to customers, with major wildfire liabilities affecting safety spending, financing and shareholder value. Edison’s wildfire liability and financing news offer a comparison for the pressures facing Hawaiian Electric Industries.

  • Portland General Electric shares Hawaiian Electric Industries’ dependence on regulated customer rates to recover the costs of generating, buying and delivering electricity within a concentrated service area. Watch Oregon’s decisions on Portland General Electric’s retail rates and infrastructure investment as a comparison for Hawaii’s cost-recovery approvals, rather than electricity sales alone.

  • Pinnacle West Capital and Hawaiian Electric Industries both depend almost entirely on regulated electricity businesses concentrated in one region, leaving little business diversification beyond supplying power to customers. Pinnacle West’s subsidiary APS earns principally from customer electric service; that revenue line is the closest comparison to Hawaiian Electric Industries’ utility business.

  • IDACORP, Inc. and Hawaiian Electric Industries derive nearly all their business from utilities that generate, buy and deliver electricity to customers, with regulators deciding how investment costs enter customer rates. Watch cost recovery at IDACORP’s Idaho Power: seeking a rate increase does not guarantee full or timely recovery, or the authorized return.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Weekly US crude oil and gasoline stocks track how much crude oil and fuel is held in storage, which can affect prices for the fuel oil Hawaiian Electric’s utilities burn to generate electricity and the working capital they need to pay for it.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Interest-rate decisions matter to Hawaiian Electric and HEI because they borrow to fund utility projects and wildfire-settlement payments, and the rate charged on new or repricing debt changes what they pay to finance them.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Edison International earningsEIX

    Edison International’s report will show how wildfire liabilities and funding pressure affect its utility business, offering a comparison for similar pressures at Hawaiian Electric Industries.

  2. Time to be announced

    Portland General Electric Company earningsPOR

    Portland General Electric’s report will show how Oregon regulators treat grid investment costs and retail rates, a comparison for cost recovery at Hawaiian Electric Industries.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. earningsThis company

    Hawaiian Electric Industries depends on its regulated utilities for nearly all its revenue, and this report will show whether their cost recovery and cash generation can help fund the parent’s wildfire obligations.