Stock daily read

What happened with GPRO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GPRO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

GoPro sells HERO and MAX cameras, mounts and accessories that let users capture footage in different settings. Hardware provides most of its revenue. Retailers and distributors account for most sales, while consumers also buy directly from GoPro.com. A relatively small group of large third-party customers supplies a substantial share of revenue, making their purchasing decisions and willingness to stock and promote GoPro products important.

Users also pay for Premium, Premium+ and Quik subscriptions, which support media backup, editing, story creation and sharing. This smaller revenue stream depends on camera buyers taking up subscriptions and continuing to see enough value to renew.

GoPro relies entirely on outside manufacturers and suppliers for hardware production, with some key camera components available from only one or a few sources. Its business depends on securing those components, launching new products on time and matching production to demand. Holiday shopping has historically been its strongest sales period, making product-launch timing and retailer inventory particularly important.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GPRO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GPRO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

GoPro’s results hinge on camera launches and market share against specialist rivals including Insta360 and DJI, neither of which is shown in this list.

  • Sony competes with GoPro for camera buyers, but its gaming, music and film businesses make group results a less direct guide to GoPro’s prospects. Watch Sony’s imaging business rather than its overall revenue for a read on camera competition.

  • Apple’s camera-equipped phones and media editing and storage services let consumers replace parts of what GoPro sells through cameras and subscriptions. Watch Apple’s photo, video and related service features: GoPro says its Quik app and subscription offerings may be less compelling than Apple’s alternatives.

  • Best Buy buys GoPro cameras to resell to consumers, so it is both a sales outlet and a broader gauge of spending on electronics. Watch its holiday electronics sales for clues to GoPro’s hardware demand: GoPro has historically seen its highest revenue and retail inventory sell-through in the fourth quarter.

Agenda

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    GoPro, Inc. earningsThis company

    GoPro’s report will show whether camera pricing and subscription income can offset pressure from shipments and component costs and improve its operating loss.

  2. Time to be announced

    Sony Group Corporation earningsSONY

    Sony’s imaging results will show whether competition from a camera rival may be adding pressure on GoPro.

in 35 daysTue, Nov 24

  1. Time to be announced

    Best Buy Company, Inc. earningsBBY

    Best Buy’s holiday electronics sales will show whether consumer demand and a retail outlet for GoPro are supporting camera sales.