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What happened with GHM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

GHM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Defense contractors buy Graham Corporation’s equipment for power, propulsion, cooling and torpedo systems. Graham’s engineers work with customers to design equipment for their specific systems, then manufacture it under project contracts. Defense supplies most revenue, and the ultimate customer for this work is primarily the U.S. Navy. On large projects, Graham negotiates payments as work progresses to help cover production costs; it also earns revenue from servicing equipment and selling spare parts.

Energy and process-industry customers provide the next-largest revenue stream. Refineries, chemical plants and the firms building their facilities buy equipment for heat transfer, vacuum and power systems. Graham also supplies rocket-propulsion and cooling equipment to space customers. Its FlackTek business sells advanced mixing and material-processing systems, whose installed base creates repeat demand for consumables, accessories and services.

A small group of customers accounts for a substantial share of sales. Navy projects run for years and require annual government funding to keep production moving, while commercial demand depends on customers’ facility investment. Many contracts have fixed prices, so Graham’s earnings depend on controlling costs over the life of each project. Export controls and sanctions restrict where and to whom it can sell, and some shipments require government licenses.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in GHM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

GHM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Graham Corporation’s results hinge chiefly on U.S. Navy submarine and torpedo procurement; its smaller space business also depends on launch customers such as privately held SpaceX.

  • General Dynamics buys equipment from Graham, and its Electric Boat submarine business depends on the same U.S. Navy construction programs that generate major Graham orders. Watch Electric Boat’s Virginia- and Columbia-class submarine work for a read on this shared demand.

  • Curtiss-Wright competes with Graham to supply defense and space customers with machinery that moves fluids and produces power—turbomachinery—and both are exposed to naval and nuclear-power equipment spending. Its Naval & Power results offer a view of demand in two of Graham’s core markets.

  • Ingersoll Rand competes with Graham through its Gardner Denver brand for industrial customers’ and engineering and procurement contractors’ spending on vacuum and fluid-handling equipment. Its vacuum and fluid-transfer business is the relevant comparison for Graham’s Energy & Process equipment, rather than its broader life-science offerings.

  • Kratos competes with Graham in defense and space machinery that moves fluids and provides propulsion—turbomachinery—selling engines and propulsion systems to military and aerospace buyers. Watch those products rather than its drones or satellite-ground systems when assessing the rivalry with Graham.

  • AMETEK competes with Graham in defense and space machinery that moves fluids and produces power—turbomachinery—and also sells heat-management systems to aerospace and defense customers. Its Electromechanical group’s thermal-management business is the part to watch alongside Graham’s cooling and thermal-management equipment.

  • Moog and Graham both depend on aerospace and defense production spending: Moog sells precise motion and fluid controls to equipment manufacturers, while Graham supplies fluid and propulsion equipment into the same end-market chain. Watch Moog’s sales to aerospace and defense equipment manufacturers, which accounted for 61% of its fiscal 2025 sales.

  • Crane and Graham both sell engineered fluid-handling equipment and aerospace or defense components whose demand follows customers’ equipment investment. Crane’s Process Flow Technologies sales and its aerospace business’s sales to equipment manufacturers are the useful lines to watch for these shared spending trends.

  • Honeywell’s Aerospace Technologies business competes with Graham for defense and space customers’ spending on machinery that moves fluids and produces power—turbomachinery. That aerospace business, rather than Honeywell’s automation businesses, is the relevant place to follow the competition.

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  • GE Vernova buys from Graham, linking Graham’s heat-transfer and power-generation equipment to a company that sells and services electricity-generation technology. Watch GE Vernova’s Power business for the customer-side view of this demand, alongside Graham’s growing nuclear-market offerings.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Graham’s Energy & Process business sells equipment for refineries and petrochemical facilities, so oil and fuel stock readings that shift prices can change customers’ project spending and Graham’s sales.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    GE Vernova Inc. earningsGEV

    GE Vernova's Power business will show whether demand for generation technology is strengthening, giving a customer-side read on demand for Graham's power and nuclear-market equipment.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Ingersoll Rand Inc. earningsIR

    Ingersoll Rand's vacuum and fluid-transfer results will show whether industrial equipment demand is holding up in the Energy & Process markets where it competes with Graham.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    General Dynamics Corporation earningsGD

    General Dynamics' Electric Boat business will show whether progress on Virginia- and Columbia-class submarines continues to support demand in the Navy programs that also generate work for Graham.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Curtiss-Wright Corp. earningsCW

    Curtiss-Wright's Naval & Power results will show whether demand is strengthening or weakening in naval and nuclear-power equipment markets that Graham also serves.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Graham Corporation earningsThis company

    Graham Corporation's report will show whether new orders are replacing sales as they are recognized and whether it can protect margins while delivering defense projects.