Stock daily read

What happened with FTLF today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FTLF in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

FitLife Brands serves consumers seeking sports nutrition, weight management and general-health products through brands including NDS, iSatori, MRC, MusclePharm and Irwin. It specifies the products and has U.S. contract manufacturers make them, then sells finished goods to wholesale customers or directly to consumers online.

Online purchases provide the larger share of revenue, and Amazon is overwhelmingly the main online outlet. That makes continued access to Amazon’s marketplace important to the business. Wholesale sales provide the other major revenue stream: NDS relies principally on GNC’s franchise distribution network, while Irwin sells mainly through retailers, including CVS, Walmart, Walgreens and Costco Canada. FitLife now handles Irwin’s online sales itself following its acquisition of the brand.

The business also depends on a limited group of outside manufacturers and continued purchases by retailers; GNC and other distribution customers have no material long-term supply agreements with FitLife. Its supplements face FDA scrutiny, and product formulations, labeling and advertising must comply with applicable rules.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FTLF’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FTLF says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

FitLife’s results depend on supplement demand across online and wholesale channels, with privately held GNC a critical outlet to watch for its NDS products.

  • Niagen Bioscience competes with FitLife for health-conscious buyers who purchase branded wellness supplements online, through third-party marketplaces and at specialty retailers. Its Tru Niagen consumer-products revenue offers a comparison for demand in these shared channels.

  • USANA Health Sciences competes with FitLife for health-conscious consumers buying proprietary nutritional supplements, but relies more on direct selling to people who use the products themselves or resell them. Watch its core nutritional customer base for a demand comparison, rather than a read on FitLife’s retail and online channels.

  • Mannatech competes with FitLife in nutritional supplements, weight management, fitness and skincare, though it sells mainly through network marketing to associates and preferred customers. Its sales across those categories offer a demand comparison, but through a different channel from FitLife’s retail and online business.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy-rate decision affects interest rates that feed into SOFR, the benchmark rate on FitLife’s term loan and revolving debt, changing what FitLife pays in interest and the cash left for its supplement business.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Niagen Bioscience, Inc. earningsNAGE

    Niagen Bioscience’s consumer-products revenue will show whether buyers still want wellness supplements sold through online marketplaces and specialty retailers, channels FitLife also uses.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    FitLife Brands, Inc. earningsThis company

    FitLife Brands’ report will show whether Irwin is sustaining revenue while sales and profit from FitLife’s existing brands stabilize.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track consumer spending at retailers; because FitLife sells supplements through retail customers such as Vitamin Shoppe, Walgreens and mass-market partners, as well as online, stronger or weaker spending can affect how much they and consumers buy from FitLife.