Stock daily read

What happened with FIGR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FIGR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Figure Technology Solutions helps homeowners borrow against the equity in their homes, directly under the Figure brand or through lenders using their own brands. Its software handles applications, verifies information, assesses credit and prepares loan documents. Nearly all lending is in home equity lines of credit, or HELOCs, and home-equity lending and the technology supporting it generate substantially all revenue.

Figure charges borrowers origination fees and lender partners fees tied to the amount of loans they originate or trade. It also originates or buys loans, finances them with short-term credit facilities, then sells them to loan buyers or investors in pooled loans. Loan-sale gains are a major source of earnings; sale proceeds repay the short-term borrowing. Figure continues collecting and processing payments on most platform loans, earning servicing fees from their owners. Figure Connect brings loan sellers and buyers together in an electronic marketplace and earns transaction-based fees. Figure records loan information on Provenance Blockchain alongside traditional loan documentation.

The business depends on demand for HELOCs, partners continuing to use the platform, and lenders and investors continuing to fund and buy loans at acceptable prices. A small group of large partners supplies much of origination volume, and a concentrated group of buyers purchases much of the loans sold. Partners generally pay only when they use the platform and have no long-term financial commitments. As a non-bank lender, Figure must follow state licensing and lending rules; it cannot use banks’ exemption from state interest-rate limits for its subordinate-lien HELOCs.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FIGR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FIGR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Figure’s results depend chiefly on demand for borrowing against home equity, partner lending volumes and investors’ willingness to buy its home-equity lines of credit (HELOCs), rather than cryptocurrency activity.

  • Better Home & Finance Holding Company competes with Figure for consumers borrowing against their homes and for lenders using proprietary loan-origination technology; Better earns revenue by selling loans to buyers, while Figure charges partner lenders volume-based technology and processing fees. Better’s Platform lending volume shows the scale of its push into partner channels where Figure also operates.

  • LendingTree, Inc. shares Figure’s exposure to home-equity borrowing demand and lenders’ appetite to fund and attract borrowers: it matches consumers with lenders at no charge to consumers, while Figure makes home-equity loans and charges partner lenders for technology that helps originate and distribute loans. LendingTree’s home-equity loans and credit lines within its Home segment are the relevant business to watch, rather than its broader consumer and insurance offerings.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Housing Starts (Sep)

    Figure’s home-equity lending depends on demand for HELOCs—home equity lines of credit—so housing activity can affect the originations, loan sales and serviced balances that generate its fees and gains.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Figure’s rate-sensitive warehouse funding costs and demand for HELOCs—home equity lines of credit—shape the cost of funding loans and the balances on which it earns servicing fees.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    LendingTree, Inc. earningsTREE

    LendingTree’s report will show whether consumers are seeking home-equity loans and lenders are vying for those borrowers, two forces that shape demand for Figure’s partner-originated loans.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. earningsThis company

    Figure Technology Solutions earns platform fees from partner lenders as well as fees and gains from originating and selling home-equity loans; this report will show whether partner and Figure Connect growth is broadening that revenue mix.