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What happened with FDX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FDX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

FedEx Corporation helps businesses and individuals send goods across the United States and internationally. Customers choose between faster delivery by a specified time and slower, lower-cost services. FedEx collects, transports and delivers their shipments, charging according to the service, route, weight and size, with additional charges for some services.

Package delivery brings in most of its revenue. U.S. domestic packages are the largest business, led by ground delivery to businesses and homes; international packages and freight add to that base. FedEx has spun off FedEx Freight, its separate North American less-than-truckload trucking business, but continues to carry freight through Federal Express.

The business depends on how much customers buy, produce and move across borders. Its air network has substantial fixed costs that are difficult to reduce quickly when shipment volumes fall. International flights require government-granted transportation rights and permissions, while postal rules and licensing requirements restrict or prohibit FedEx from competing in some countries’ domestic delivery and logistics markets.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FDX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

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  • Could go wrong
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Moat

FDX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

FedEx’s results hinge on domestic e-commerce and global trade volumes, with DHL an important international delivery rival missing from this list.

  • UPS competes directly with FedEx for businesses’ and households’ domestic and international package deliveries, both using combined air and ground networks. Watch UPS’s U.S. Domestic Package and International Package results for changes in the markets where FedEx competes on price and service.

  • Amazon’s delivery network competes for e-commerce shipments and could take volume and revenue away from FedEx as it serves third parties. The online retailer sells goods to consumers as well as delivering for others; watch expansion of those outside delivery services, not just growth in its retail sales.

  • FedEx retains a 19.9% stake in FedEx Freight Holding Company, but stopped consolidating its former subsidiary on June 1, 2026. FedEx Freight charges shippers to move loads too small to fill a truck—less-than-truckload freight—while FedEx delivers packages and air freight; its shipping demand offers another read on the business spending and industrial production that affect FedEx volumes.

  • Boeing affects FedEx’s fleet costs and capacity by selling it replacement 777 freighters and developing the procedures needed to return grounded MD-11 aircraft to service. Watch the MD-11 fleet’s return, which FedEx expected to complete by the end of calendar 2026, after the grounding disrupted operations and hurt fiscal 2026 results.

  • J.B. Hunt’s demand for moving consumer and industrial goods offers another view of the goods-shipping demand that drives FedEx’s package and air-freight volumes. Businesses pay it for trucking and transport combining rail and trucks; watch volumes in those services for signs of changing goods consumption and inventory movement.

  • Wayfair relies primarily on FedEx to deliver small parcels, tying its online home-goods orders to FedEx’s residential package demand. Wayfair sells furniture, décor and housewares to consumers and businesses; watch orders for items shipped as small parcels rather than bulky goods delivered through other networks.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Boeing Company earningsBA

    Boeing’s update will show whether work on the procedures for returning FedEx’s grounded MD-11 freighters to service is advancing, affecting when that capacity may return.

  2. Time to be announced

    United Parcel Service, Inc. earningsUPS

    UPS’s U.S. Domestic and International Package results will show how demand and pricing are changing in the markets where it competes with FedEx.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    FedEx Corporation earningsThis company

    FedEx’s report will show whether package volumes and revenue per shipment cover fuel and air-ground network costs well enough to support operating income.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Amazon.Com Inc earningsAMZN

    Amazon’s report will show whether it is expanding delivery for outside sellers, competing with FedEx for e-commerce parcels.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Wayfair Inc. earningsW

    Wayfair’s report will show how orders requiring small-parcel delivery are changing, offering a read on FedEx’s residential package demand.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    FedEx delivers goods consumers buy, including through its U.S. residential services, so retail sales can change package volumes and the revenue earned from shipping them.

  2. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    FedEx moves goods made by factories, mines and utilities, so changes in industrial output can alter shipment volumes and the revenue its transportation network earns.