Stock daily read

What happened with FCAP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

FCAP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

First Capital Inc is a bank holding company whose operations center on First Harrison Bank. The bank gathers deposits from local households and businesses, then uses those funds and loan repayments to make loans and hold income-producing securities. Borrowers pay interest, and the bank earns investment income; its earnings depend on the gap between these returns and its funding costs. It also earns account-service, ATM and debit-card fees.

Mortgages make up most of the bank’s loans. It keeps variable-rate residential mortgages and sells newly originated qualifying fixed-rate home loans to secondary-market buyers, earning gains on those sales. Most lending is concentrated in its five-county market in Indiana and Kentucky near Louisville, so local borrowers’ ability to repay and local property values matter to the business.

First Capital itself receives most of its income as dividends from the bank. Those payments depend on bank earnings and are restricted by banking rules tied to retained earnings and minimum capital. The bank also depends on retaining deposits at costs that leave room to earn income from its loans and investments.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in FCAP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

FCAP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Kentucky First Federal Bancorp and First Capital both use local deposits to fund mortgage lending, so mortgage spreads and Kentucky housing conditions matter to both. Watch the rates Kentucky First earns on one- to four-family home loans against what it pays depositors.

  • Finward Bancorp offers a comparison for First Capital's deposit-funded property lending in Indiana, but the banks serve different parts of the state. Finward's Peoples Bank lends mainly against single-family homes and commercial property; its loan rates and deposit costs help show the pressure on that business.

  • Interest-rate changes reach both Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. and First Capital through mortgages and securities funded by deposits. Watch Capitol Federal's interest earned on loans, securities and cash less interest paid on deposits and borrowings—its net interest income—to gauge that earnings pressure.

  • TFS Financial Corporation and First Capital both earn lending income from residential property borrowers using retail deposits for funding, so mortgage pricing and housing credit conditions affect both. TFS's residential mortgage and home-equity loan performance offers a read on that housing exposure.

  • First Financial Corporation and First Capital both use deposits to fund mortgage, consumer and business loans in Indiana and Kentucky, giving investors a comparison for loan demand and funding costs. Their core markets differ: First Financial's include west-central Indiana and western Kentucky, rather than First Capital's five-county area.

  • Horizon Bancorp, Inc.'s loan and securities income offers a comparison for First Capital's earnings in Indiana banking, though Horizon serves markets farther north. Watch those revenue lines, while separating the realized losses from Horizon's 2025 balance-sheet repositioning from its lending income.

Agenda

in 4 daysFri, Oct 23

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    First Capital Inc earningsThis company

    First Capital earns mainly through First Harrison Bank’s lending, and this report shows whether loan income covers funding costs and credit losses.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Finward Bancorp earningsFNWD

    Finward Bancorp’s report will show whether another Indiana bank funded by deposits can keep loan income ahead of deposit costs.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. earningsCFFN

    Capitol Federal Financial’s report will show how rate changes affect mortgage and securities income after deposit and borrowing costs, a comparison for First Capital.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Fed rate decisions track the cost of short-term borrowing and influence rates across the economy; they can change what First Harrison Bank earns on its largely fixed-rate loans, pays for deposits and other funding, and receives when mortgages are repaid early.

in 10 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    TFS Financial Corporation earningsTFSL

    TFS Financial’s report will show how residential mortgages and home-equity loans are faring, offering a housing and borrower read-through for First Capital’s larger mortgage business.

in 29 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Retail sales track how much consumers spend at stores; that spending flows through card transactions processed by First Harrison Bank and can change the debit-card interchange fees it earns based on transaction value.