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What happened with EVH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EVH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
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Company

Company overview

Evolent Health helps health plans and other organizations responsible for patients’ medical costs manage care for complex conditions such as cancer, cardiovascular disease and musculoskeletal disorders. It connects specialist networks, treatment guidelines and technology to support physicians’ treatment decisions and manage medical spending. Its CarePro platform supports clinical decisions and monitors whether treatment follows care plans. Specialty care management generates most of its revenue; a smaller administrative business runs services such as health-plan administration and claims processing.

Customers generally pay a monthly rate for each member Evolent manages, with payments also depending on the population covered and the services purchased. Its largest revenue source is Performance Suite, where Evolent receives these payments but must pay medical claims within the agreed scope. Earnings therefore depend not only on membership and contract rates, but also on treatment use and costs. Contractual limits reduce some of that exposure. Other specialty-care arrangements charge for technology and services without assuming those claims costs, and some services are billed per case.

Revenue is concentrated among a small group of partners, led by Molina Healthcare, making those relationships important to the business. Evolent also relies on access to patient information to deliver its services. HIPAA privacy and security requirements govern how it handles protected health information.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EVH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

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  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
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Moat

EVH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

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Related companies

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  • Supplier
  • Customer

Evolent also relies heavily on contracts with Cook County Health and Hospitals System and Florida Blue, which together supplied 30.6% of its 2025 revenue.

  • Molina buys Evolent’s specialty-care management services and supplied 25.7% of its 2025 revenue, so Molina’s membership and contracting decisions directly matter to Evolent. Molina collects premiums to arrange and pay for members’ care; watch its Medicaid enrollment and medical costs, as Medicaid supplied 75% of its 2025 premium revenue.

  • Centene pays Evolent for specialty-care management and supplied 12.2% of its 2025 revenue, leaving Evolent exposed to both this customer’s decisions and the Medicaid membership and medical-cost pressures they share. Centene provides health coverage through Medicaid, Medicare and commercial plans; its Medicaid business, which supplied 57% of its 2025 external revenue, is the clearest area to watch.

  • Starling Oncology’s disclosed TOI business competes with Evolent for contracts in which health plans pay them to manage cancer care and bear financial risk. Unlike Evolent’s support for providers, TOI also delivers cancer treatment directly; watch its arrangements that share treatment gains or losses with health plans.

  • Humana’s insurance business pays Evolent for specialty-care management, but its share of Evolent’s revenue fell from 19.3% in 2024 to below 10% in 2025. Humana sells health insurance, including private Medicare plans; medical-cost trends in those plans matter because both companies face Medicare cost pressures.

  • agilon health and Evolent both bear the risk that treatment costs outgrow payments from health plans, but agilon manages patients’ total healthcare costs while Evolent takes responsibility for defined specialty costs. agilon receives per-member payments under global-capitation agreements; watch how Medicare Advantage care costs compare with those payments.

  • Astrana Health and Evolent are both sensitive to medical claims costs relative to contracted payments: Astrana bears risk through physician networks, while Evolent bears defined specialty-care risk. Insurers commonly pay Astrana’s affiliated physician associations a fixed monthly amount per member to arrange care, making the balance between those payments and medical costs worth watching.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Molina Healthcare, Inc. earningsMOH

    Molina Healthcare buys specialty-care services from Evolent, and its report will show whether Medicaid membership and care costs support continued demand for them.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Evolent’s Fed-linked SOFR loans make the Fed’s benchmark borrowing rate matter to how much the company pays in interest and debt service.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    agilon health, inc. earningsAGL

    agilon health bears patients’ overall care costs, and its report will show whether Medicare Advantage medical costs are outrunning health-plan payments per member—a useful signal for Evolent’s narrower specialty-claim exposure.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Evolent Health, Inc earningsThis company

    Evolent Health manages specialty care for health plans, and its report will show how member volumes, contracted services and medical claims together shape revenue and profitability.