Stock daily read

What happened with EP today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EP in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Empire Petroleum Corporation invests in oil and gas properties and develops them to maintain and increase production. Crude oil supplies most of its revenue; natural gas and natural gas liquids contribute much less. Marketers buy its production, mainly at the producing properties, at market-based prices and arrange transportation. Empire does not transport, refine or process the oil. A small group of buyers accounts for most sales.

Its income depends on commodity prices and how much its wells produce. As reservoirs decline, maintaining production requires further development or acquiring recoverable reserves. Sales also depend on access to third-party transportation and processing facilities. Exploration and production require government permits and approvals.

Empire also depends on outside funding to meet obligations and develop its properties. Expected operating cash flow is insufficient to cover its obligations, and it has relied heavily on capital from its two largest stockholders, Energy Evolution Master Fund, Ltd. and Phil Mulacek. Management relies on their support and other funding plans to meet those obligations.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EP’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EP says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • EON Resources Inc. offers a close comparison for Empire Petroleum Corporation’s efforts to get more production and cash from existing New Mexico oil properties: both earn money from selling the oil and gas they produce. Watch whether EON’s injection of water into reservoirs and work on existing wells sustain commercially viable oil production.

  • Ring Energy Inc. and Empire Petroleum Corporation both acquire and develop producing oil properties in Texas, so the prices buyers pay for crude affect both businesses. Ring’s realized oil prices offer a comparison for Empire’s oil revenue, with Ring selling to end users, marketers and other purchasers near its fields.

  • Evolution Petroleum Corporation shares Empire Petroleum Corporation’s exposure to oil and gas prices through interests in producing properties, but largely leaves field operations to others. Its revenue from those interests is a useful cash-return comparison, though some mineral and royalty interests generally avoid extraction and well-development costs that working interests bear.

  • Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. shares Empire Petroleum Corporation’s regional oil-price and development exposure through producing interests in the Williston and Permian basins, but earns its share of oil and gas revenue from wells run by other operators. Watch its decisions to fund proposed wells: lower oil prices typically reduce both the proposals it receives and the share it joins.

  • Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. and Empire Petroleum Corporation sell oil at market prices, and both have seen deductions absorb or exceed the price buyers pay for gas. Watch Riley’s gas prices after gathering, processing and transportation costs: they show how gas sales can yield negative revenue even when production continues.

  • PrimeEnergy Resources Corporation and Empire Petroleum Corporation both acquire and develop U.S. producing properties, including Texas assets, so oil and gas prices and output shape their cash generation. PrimeEnergy’s production performance offers a comparison for Empire’s field-development spending, although PrimeEnergy also provides well-servicing support to third parties.

  • Crescent Energy Company and Empire Petroleum Corporation both seek cash from acquired producing properties and further development, making oil and gas sale prices and the cost of maintaining output important to both. Watch how much Crescent reinvests to sustain production: it says its slower-declining production base needs relatively modest spending.

  • Permian Resources Corporation sells oil, gas and natural gas liquids from West Texas and New Mexico, sharing Empire Petroleum Corporation’s exposure to regional prices and transportation constraints. Watch the differences between market prices and what its buyers actually pay under their contracts, which offer a comparison for the prices Empire receives at its properties.

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  • SM Energy Company and Empire Petroleum Corporation both rely on oil sales for most production revenue and have producing assets in Texas, making crude prices a shared pressure point. Oil supplied 82% of SM Energy’s production revenue in both 2025 and 2024, so its oil-sales performance is more relevant to Empire than its total oil, gas and NGL revenue alone.

  • Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation and Empire Petroleum Corporation both produce oil and gas in Texas and reinvest in fields to generate operating cash flow. Magnolia’s aim to keep drilling and well-completion spending well within cash flow provides a comparison for Empire’s ability to fund development from its oil and gas business.

  • EOG Resources, Inc. and Empire Petroleum Corporation both produce and sell oil, gas and natural gas liquids, so commodity prices and field-development returns matter to both. EOG’s focus on low-cost reserves and short investment payback offers a comparison for whether Empire’s spending on producing properties can generate cash.

  • Occidental Petroleum Corporation’s substantial oil sales and Permian operations share Empire Petroleum Corporation’s exposure to crude prices and returns from developing producing fields. Watch Occidental’s efforts to recover more oil through water injection and other recovery methods as a comparison for the economics of extending production from Empire’s properties.

Agenda

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Crescent Energy Company earningsCRGY

    Crescent Energy’s production and spending to sustain it will show how much cash a producing business may need to keep output steady as Empire Petroleum’s wells decline.

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Empire Petroleum Corporation earningsThis company

    Empire Petroleum sells oil and gas from its own fields, and this report will show whether production and realized prices can support operations and field investment.

in 34 daysMon, Nov 23

  1. Time to be announced

    EON Resources Inc. earningsEONR

    EON Resources’ output from existing New Mexico fields will show whether water injection and well work can extend production, a useful comparison for Empire Petroleum’s fields in the state.