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What happened with ELV today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ELV in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Elevance Health sells health plans to employers and individuals and provides coverage through government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid. Its Health Benefits business collects premiums and pays for covered medical care; these premiums supply most of the company’s revenue. Employers that fund their own workers’ healthcare instead pay Elevance fees to process claims, provide access to doctor and hospital networks, and administer benefits. U.S. government agencies are a substantial source of revenue.

Its Carelon businesses also serve Elevance’s own health plans and outside customers. CarelonRx supplies prescription drugs and manages pharmacy benefits, earning drug revenue and service fees. Carelon Services earns fees for managing and delivering care, including in-home and virtual care for people with chronic or complex conditions. CarelonRx relies on CVS Health subsidiary CaremarkPCS Health for core functions such as processing pharmacy claims and administering pharmacy networks and rebates.

The insurance business depends on setting premiums high enough to cover medical costs: prices are generally fixed before coverage begins, and Elevance bears the cost when claims exceed its assumptions. Government payment rates and program requirements also shape the business. Elevance needs insurance licenses and regulatory approvals to sell certain products and raise certain premiums. It sells Blue Cross and Blue Shield coverage under licenses that limit where it may use those brands and require it to meet operating and brand-use rules.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ELV’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ELV says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • UnitedHealth competes with Elevance for Medicare Advantage members, while its Optum pharmacy, care-management and analytics services compete with Carelon for health-plan and other customers. Optum’s pharmacy and care-service results offer a comparison for Elevance’s business beyond insurance premiums.

  • Elevance both competes with and relies on CVS Health: Aetna sells health coverage to employers, government programs and individuals, while CVS’s Caremark supplies core pharmacy services to CarelonRx. Watch that service agreement, whose current term runs through December 31, 2027; Elevance can elect a three-year extension if either party terminates or does not renew.

  • Centene competes with Elevance for Medicaid, ACA Marketplace and Medicare members, making its government-funded health coverage a useful comparison. Medicaid supplied 57% of Centene’s total external revenue in 2025, so that business is the clearest place to watch for pressures shared with Elevance.

  • Molina competes with Elevance for state Medicaid contracts and members, collecting premiums to arrange and pay for covered care; it also sells Medicare and Marketplace coverage. Medicaid accounted for 75% of Molina’s consolidated premium revenue in 2025, making its state contract awards and rates especially relevant to Elevance’s Medicaid business.

  • Cigna competes with Elevance for employers’ health-benefit business, while Evernorth provides pharmacy and care services that overlap with CarelonRx and Carelon Services. Watch the drug rebates Express Scripts secures for clients: some contracts guarantee a rebate value, leaving it to bear the risk if negotiations fall short—a useful comparison for CarelonRx’s rebate-administration business.

  • Humana competes with Elevance for Medicare insurance members, while its CenterWell pharmacy, primary-care and home-health services overlap with Carelon. Its Medicare insurance results are a useful comparison for Elevance’s exposure to government reimbursement, Star Ratings and seniors’ use of medical care.

  • Oscar Health competes with Elevance for individuals and families buying ACA coverage, with premiums paid by members and federal advance premium tax credits. Watch whether those premiums cover members’ medical costs: Oscar’s insurance results offer a direct comparison for the ACA cost pressure that drove much of Elevance’s higher benefit expense ratio in 2025.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Elevance Health, Inc. earningsThis company

    Elevance’s report will show whether the premiums it collects can keep its health-plan business profitable as medical costs rise.

  2. Time to be announced

    Molina Healthcare, Inc. earningsMOH

    Molina’s report will show how state Medicaid rates and enrollment affect the economics of the coverage it sells, a direct comparison for Elevance’s Medicaid business.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    CVS HEALTH CORPORATION earningsCVS

    CVS’s report will show how its pharmacy-benefit business is doing, offering a view of the supplier behind some of CarelonRx’s core services.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    The Cigna Group earningsCI

    Cigna’s report will show whether Express Scripts secures enough drug rebates to meet client commitments, a useful read on pricing pressure in CarelonRx’s rebate-administration business.

  2. Time to be announced

    Oscar Health, Inc. earningsOSCR

    Oscar Health’s report will show whether ACA premiums keep pace with members’ medical costs, a comparison for the cost pressure in Elevance’s own ACA business.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced

    Humana Inc. earningsHUM

    Humana’s report will show how care costs, government payments and Star Ratings affect its Medicare plans, a comparison for Elevance’s business serving seniors.