Stock daily read

What happened with EE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

EE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Excelerate Energy’s floating terminals receive liquefied natural gas (LNG), turn it back into gas onboard and send it into pipelines. State-owned energy companies, transmission operators and industrial gas users pay for this capacity and its operation, generally at fixed daily rates under long-term contracts. Customers typically must pay even if they do not use the contracted capacity and bear most terminal operating costs.

The company also buys LNG, arranges transportation and uses its infrastructure to supply gas or generate electricity and steam for sale. It generally links LNG purchase pricing to long-term customer supply contracts, earning a margin between supply costs and sales. Its Jamaican business includes the Montego Bay and Old Harbour LNG terminals and the Clarendon combined heat and power plant. Energy sales and terminal services contribute broadly similar shares of revenue.

The business depends on customers paying and renewing contracts, and on LNG suppliers meeting delivery commitments. A few large customers account for a substantial share of revenue, and some have extended payment timelines. Operating its facilities requires permits and licenses that must be maintained or renewed; new construction and expansion also require local approvals.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in EE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

EE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • New Fortress Energy competes with Excelerate to supply downstream customers through infrastructure that imports LNG, turns it back into gas and uses gas to generate power. Watch its pursuit of long-term gas and power contracts and additional industrial and transportation customers—the same integrated delivery business Excelerate is building.

  • Excelerate's Jamaican gas business depends on LNG supplied by Venture Global under a 20-year agreement: Venture Global produces and sells LNG, while Excelerate delivers gas to downstream users. Watch Venture Global's production and long-term contracted supply, rather than just its short-term LNG sales.

  • Cheniere Energy and Excelerate both benefit from demand for dependable LNG supply, but at different ends of the trade: Cheniere sells LNG to energy companies, utilities and traders worldwide, while Excelerate earns fees for receiving it and sells gas and power downstream. Cheniere's international LNG sales offer a view of demand for the fuel Excelerate's infrastructure enables customers to use.

  • Cheniere Energy Partners shares Excelerate's exposure to international LNG demand: it supplies energy companies, utilities and traders from Sabine Pass, while Excelerate operates infrastructure that receives LNG for downstream gas users. Its customers generally owe fixed fees even when they cancel cargoes, so LNG revenue alone does not show how much fuel buyers are taking—a distinction that also matters for Excelerate's fixed-fee terminal services.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    Cheniere Energy Partners, LP earningsCQP

    Cheniere Energy Partners' report will show whether buyers are taking LNG cargoes as steadily as it collects fixed fees, a distinction that matters when judging demand for Excelerate Energy's terminal services.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Excelerate Energy, Inc. earningsThis company

    Long-term terminal-services contracts give Excelerate Energy fixed-fee income, and this report will show whether its LNG, gas and power sales add margin after supply costs.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    New Fortress Energy Inc. earningsNFE

    New Fortress Energy's report will show whether it is turning long-term gas and power customers into sales, signaling how competition is developing in markets where Excelerate Energy also sells energy.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    Venture Global, Inc. earningsVG

    Venture Global's report will show how LNG production and long-term supply are progressing, which matters to Excelerate Energy's ability to deliver gas to downstream users in Jamaica.