Stock daily read

What happened with DASH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

DASH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Consumers use DoorDash’s DoorDash, Wolt and Deliveroo apps and websites to find local merchants and order goods. Merchants supply the goods, while DoorDash arranges fulfillment and pays delivery workers known as Dashers. Most revenue comes from these marketplace orders: merchants pay commissions tied to order value, and consumers pay delivery and service fees. DoorDash also sells advertising to merchants and consumer packaged goods companies, and charges for DashPass, Wolt+ and Deliveroo Plus memberships that reduce certain order fees and offer other benefits.

Merchants can also use DoorDash’s Commerce Platform for orders placed through their own websites or apps. Drive, which arranges delivery under the merchant’s brand for a per-order fee, supplies most of this platform’s revenue.

The business depends on keeping merchants and consumers active and enough Dashers available to fulfill orders. Delivery-worker pay is a major cost, so delivery efficiency and customers’ willingness to pay fees matter. DoorDash relies primarily on Stripe for payments to merchants and Dashers, and mainly on Stripe and PayPal for consumer payments. Local worker-status and minimum-pay rules shape its delivery model and costs; challenges to its use of independent contractors could require substantial changes. Many U.S. jurisdictions also prohibit arranging restaurant deliveries without the restaurant’s prior consent.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in DASH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

DASH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

DoorDash’s results hinge on local delivery demand and competitive pricing, so watch internationally listed rivals Delivery Hero and Prosus even though neither appears here.

  • Uber’s Uber Eats competes with DoorDash for local delivery orders, merchants and delivery workers; lower customer prices, lower merchant fees or better worker earnings can shift business between them. Watch Uber Eats’ pricing and merchant fees for pressure on DoorDash’s order and fee revenue.

  • Instacart competes with DoorDash for grocery orders, retailers buying ordering and fulfillment technology, and brands buying ads. Retailer adoption of Instacart Enterprise and spending on Instacart Ads show the competition DoorDash faces beyond delivery fees.

  • Grab Holdings offers a comparison for DoorDash’s delivery economics: its Southeast Asian food and grocery marketplaces connect consumers with merchants and retain fees or commissions from transactions. Watch delivery incentives alongside order growth, because consumer and partner incentives reduce Grab’s reported revenue, just as promotions and courier payouts reduce DoorDash’s.

  • Domino’s competes with DoorDash for delivered-meal spending through its own pizza network, but also brings pizza orders to DoorDash under multinational marketplace agreements. Its franchisees sell pizza to local customers and pay Domino’s royalties and fees; watch its DoorDash ordering business for the partnership side of this rivalry.

  • Toast competes with DoorDash’s Commerce Platform to sell restaurants digital ordering and customer-management tools, while restaurant transaction growth benefits both. Watch restaurants’ adoption of Toast’s ordering and loyalty tools; DoorDash’s Commerce Platform currently earns most of its revenue from merchants paying Drive to deliver orders placed through their own channels.

  • Amazon competes with DoorDash in local on-demand delivery, but its retail and cloud businesses make its overall results a less direct comparison. Watch Amazon’s delivery pricing and speed for consumers buying goods through its stores, rather than treating company-wide growth as a signal for DoorDash.

  • Walmart’s grocery delivery and Walmart+ membership compete with DoorDash’s grocery marketplace and DashPass for households’ spending on convenient shopping.

Agenda

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Toast, Inc. earningsTOST

    Toast's report shows whether restaurants are adopting its digital ordering tools and processing more transactions, testing demand for the merchant services DoorDash's Commerce Platform competes for and whether more own-channel orders may need Drive delivery.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    DoorDash, Inc. earningsThis company

    DoorDash earns merchant commissions, consumer fees and advertising revenue from marketplace orders, so this report shows whether order growth is still turning into revenue and profit after Dasher payouts, promotions and marketing.

  2. Time to be announced

    Uber Technologies, Inc. earningsUBER

    Uber's report can show how Uber Eats' consumer prices and merchant fees relate to its orders, revealing the competitive pressure DoorDash faces for the same orders and merchant revenue.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Maplebear Inc. earningsCART

    Instacart's report can show whether retailers are adopting its ordering and fulfillment technology and brands are spending more on its ads, revealing the competition DoorDash faces for retailer relationships and advertising budgets.