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What happened with CTRI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CTRI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Centuri Holdings, Inc. supplies crews and equipment to replace aging gas pipes, repair power lines and expand utility networks in the United States and Canada. Its customers are mainly regulated electric and gas utilities, including American Electric Power and Enbridge. The business focuses on recurring maintenance and local distribution infrastructure rather than cross-country pipeline projects.

Most revenue comes from work ordered under long-term master service agreements, with the rest from separately bid contracts. Customers generally supply the project materials. Centuri is paid mainly for units of work completed or for labor time and allowable expenses, rather than a fixed price for an entire project.

A majority of revenue comes from its largest utility customers, so their spending decisions matter. Long-term agreements generally guarantee no minimum work volume and can usually be cancelled on short notice. Work therefore depends on customers continuing to place orders and having materials ready, while utility regulators influence their capital budgets and may limit how much work they award to one contractor.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CTRI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CTRI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Quanta Services competes with Centuri for contracts from electric and gas utilities to build, upgrade and maintain their networks. Its utility service-contract wins are worth watching alongside Centuri’s recurring maintenance work.

  • Primoris Services Corporation’s Utilities segment competes with Centuri for utility customers’ spending on building, maintaining and replacing natural gas and electric distribution systems. That segment, rather than Primoris’s broader Energy business, is the closer comparison for Centuri’s local network work.

  • MYR Group competes with Centuri for electric utilities’ contracts to build, maintain and repair transmission and distribution networks. Watch its Transmission and Distribution segment, especially local distribution work, rather than its commercial and industrial electrical contracting.

  • MasTec competes with Centuri for utility customers’ construction, maintenance and upgrade work, including power delivery services under multiyear agreements. Its Power Delivery business is the relevant area to watch, rather than results that also include communications and other infrastructure.

  • Everus Construction Group’s Transmission and Distribution business competes with Centuri for electric and gas utilities’ construction, maintenance and emergency restoration work. Restoration activity is particularly relevant: storm repairs can improve Centuri’s margins, although severe weather can also delay projects.

  • Southwest Gas Holdings, Centuri’s former parent, remains a source of tax and liability exposure after their separation; it now earns revenue from supplying natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers. If Southwest Gas cannot pay the group’s federal income taxes for years when Centuri was a member, Centuri could owe more than its agreed share, alongside uncapped obligations to cover liabilities tied to its own business.

  • NiSource pays Centuri for utility infrastructure services, linking Centuri to the network needs of its regulated gas and electric businesses. NiSource earns substantially all its revenue and earnings from those utilities, making them the relevant business to follow for this customer relationship.

  • Exelon pays Centuri for infrastructure services for its regulated electric and gas networks. Exelon delivers electricity rather than generating it, so its transmission and distribution business is the part to watch for Centuri’s network replacement and maintenance work.

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  • Sempra is a paying customer for Centuri’s network services, with regulated electric and gas utilities that need maintenance and installation work. Its California and Texas utility businesses are the relevant areas to follow for Centuri, rather than treating all Sempra energy infrastructure activity as potential work.

  • National Grid buys Centuri’s infrastructure services and operates electric and gas networks in the northeastern United States that need construction, replacement and maintenance. Those U.S. networks, rather than National Grid’s UK operations, are the relevant customer exposure for Centuri.

  • American Electric Power pays Centuri for infrastructure services while earning revenue from electricity sales and transmission and distribution delivery. Its network businesses are the closer guide to Centuri’s recurring work between substations and customer meters than its generation and marketing results.

  • Enbridge buys Centuri’s utility infrastructure services and supplies natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers in the United States and Canada. Its Gas Distribution and Storage business is the relevant comparison for Centuri’s local gas-network maintenance, not its crude-oil pipeline activity.

  • Entergy buys Centuri’s infrastructure services for electric networks that need distribution maintenance, upgrades and restoration, while selling electricity in parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Texas and Louisiana. Watch network restoration needs: storm repair work can lift Centuri’s margins, but severe weather can also hold up its projects.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    American Electric Power Company, Inc. earningsAEP

    American Electric Power’s report will show whether it is sustaining investment in the electric networks whose local construction and maintenance work Centuri performs.

  2. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision signals the direction of borrowing costs across the economy; for Centuri, higher costs on variable-rate debt can mean more cash paid for interest and less left for utility infrastructure work.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Primoris Services Corporation earningsPRIM

    Primoris Services Corporation’s Utilities segment performs gas and electric distribution work like Centuri’s, so its report can show the competitive and pricing conditions in that work.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Everus Construction Group, Inc. earningsECG

    Everus Construction Group’s Transmission and Distribution business also handles storm restoration, so its report can show what restoration activity and project conditions may mean for Centuri.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Centuri Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    Centuri earns money from utility infrastructure work, and this report will show whether rising work revenue is coming through without squeezing gross margin.