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What happened with CRMT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CRMT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

America's Car Mart Inc serves people who need a vehicle but often cannot qualify for conventional financing because they have limited credit histories or past credit problems. Its dealerships are mainly in small cities in the South-Central United States. It finances nearly every vehicle it sells, so customers pay for their cars over time, with interest. Vehicle sales provide most revenue, while financing interest is another substantial source. It finances its own vehicles and selected related products rather than lending to people who are not its customers.

Collecting those payments is central to the business. Dealership managers are responsible for collections, and the company may extend repayment schedules when customers' finances change. Its earnings depend partly on judging borrowers' ability to pay and managing overdue accounts. State interest-rate limits constrain what it can charge.

The company uses customer collections and borrowing backed by groups of installment contracts to fund operations and new financing. Much of those collections must repay existing financing, leaving less cash to buy vehicles. It has no revolving credit or warehouse facility to bridge that funding gap, and cash shortages have sharply curtailed vehicle purchases and sales. Term-loan covenants also restrict additional borrowing and other transactions. Its liquidity problems and covenant breaches have raised substantial doubt about its ability to continue operating.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CRMT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CRMT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Vroom’s UACC lends to vehicle buyers with weaker credit through dealers, exposing it to the same borrower-repayment and loan-funding pressures as America’s Car-Mart, which sells and finances its own vehicles. Watch repayment performance among UACC’s non-prime borrowers for signs of strain in the customers Car-Mart serves.

  • CarMax competes with America’s Car-Mart by selling used vehicles and lending to its own retail buyers, though Car-Mart focuses on older vehicles and customers with credit problems. CarMax’s vehicle pricing and financing availability are worth watching as competing offers to used-car buyers.

  • Carvana competes for America’s Car-Mart’s used-car buyers by selling vehicles and offering financing through a nationwide online platform, rather than Car-Mart’s mainly small-city dealerships. Watch Carvana’s retail vehicle sales: each sale also opens opportunities for financing and related-product revenue.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/17)

    Weekly jobless claims count people newly filing for unemployment benefits, a signal of job loss that can affect whether Car-Mart’s customers can make payments on the vehicles it sells and finances.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Non Farm Payrolls (Oct)

    The monthly jobs report counts jobs added or lost, helping show whether customers have the employment and income to buy vehicles from Car-Mart and repay the financing it provides.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Vroom, Inc. earningsVRM

    Vroom’s UACC lends to non-prime buyers through dealers, and its report will show whether repayment pressure is building among borrowers similar to those America’s Car-Mart finances.

in 51 daysThu, Dec 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    America's Car Mart Inc earningsThis company

    America’s Car-Mart sells cars and finances most buyers, so this report will show whether it can fund vehicle purchases and new loans while collecting enough from borrowers to keep cash flowing.

in 58 daysThu, Dec 17

  1. Time to be announced

    CarMax Inc. earningsKMX

    CarMax sells used cars and finances its retail buyers, so its report will show how its sales and loan availability shape competition for America’s Car-Mart’s used-car customers.