Stock daily read

What happened with COUR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

COUR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Coursera brings university and industry-created learning content to people seeking job skills, professional certificates or degrees. Individual learners provide most of its revenue, paying through Coursera.org for courses and credentials or subscribing to Coursera Plus for access to a broad catalog. Employers, educational institutions and governments also buy subscriptions to train employees, students and citizens through Coursera for Business, Coursera for Campus and Coursera for Government.

Coursera pays content creators to supply its offerings; for university degree programs, it earns a share of students’ tuition. The business depends on converting free users into paying learners, keeping subscribers and organizational customers, and retaining creators whose content attracts them. A small group of leading creators supplies programs that account for a substantial share of revenue, making those relationships important to both sales and content costs.

Degree offerings require education authorizations and university accreditation. Their tuition-sharing model also relies on a U.S. federal exception that permits revenue sharing when services are bundled together. Changes to that exception, or state restrictions on online-program revenue sharing, can require Coursera to renegotiate university agreements, change the model or stop affected programs.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in COUR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

COUR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Coursera’s results hinge on demand from individuals and employers for career learning, making Udemy an important rival to watch even though it is missing from this list.

  • Skillsoft competes with Coursera for employers’ training budgets: both sell subscription platforms offering business and technology training. Watch demand for Skillsoft’s employee-training subscriptions for a read on the spending Coursera is competing for.

  • Docebo competes with Coursera for employers paying to train employees and teach them new skills, but focuses on software that organizes and manages learning rather than a course marketplace. Its learning-platform subscription revenue is a useful signal of employers’ appetite for training tools, rather than demand for Coursera’s courses themselves.

  • Pearson competes with Coursera to sell career-focused learning and skills credentials to individuals and institutions, but also has substantial testing and school-education businesses. Its vocational qualifications and enterprise talent offerings are closer signals of Coursera’s market than its broader education results.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Coursera, Inc. earningsThis company

    Coursera's report will show whether individual subscriptions and enterprise customers are both driving revenue growth, and whether existing enterprise customers are spending more.

in 50 daysWed, Dec 9

  1. Time to be announced

    Skillsoft Corp. earningsSKIL

    Skillsoft's report will show whether employers are still paying for employee-training subscriptions, a budget it competes for with Coursera.