Stock daily read

What happened with CLPR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CLPR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Apartment residents are Clipper Realty Inc.’s main paying customers, with office and retail tenants providing the rest of its rental revenue. Its properties are all in Manhattan and Brooklyn. Flatbush Gardens and Tribeca House together supply most of the company’s revenue, so the business depends heavily on demand for homes in these neighborhoods.

The City of New York is an important office tenant. It has left 250 Livingston Street, which remains vacant, but continues to occupy and pay rent at 141 Livingston Street while a lease extension is being finalized. The lost tenant at 250 Livingston has left the property with operating and debt-service shortfalls, and its mortgage is in default. Loan conditions also restrict when cash from that property can reach the company.

Residential income depends on keeping apartments occupied and collecting rents within New York’s tenant-protection rules. Rent stabilization limits increases and the conversion of regulated apartments to market rents. The Good Cause Eviction Law also restricts rent increases and tenant removal where it applies.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CLPR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CLPR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Clipper Realty Inc.’s results hinge mainly on Manhattan and Brooklyn apartment rents and occupancy, while its commercial income also depends on the City of New York’s leasing decisions.

  • Empire State Realty Trust and Clipper Realty Inc. both collect rent from New York City apartment, office and retail tenants, so they face overlapping local rental demand. Empire State’s Manhattan office occupancy and leasing activity offer a view of commercial demand, rather than a direct read on Clipper’s apartment business.

  • SL Green Realty Corp. shares Clipper Realty Inc.’s exposure to New York City residential and commercial tenants’ demand for space, but relies much more heavily on Manhattan offices for rent. Watch its Manhattan residential occupancy for the closer comparison with Clipper’s apartment business; its office leasing reflects a different tenant mix.

  • American Strategic Investment Co. and Clipper Realty Inc. both collect rent from New York City commercial tenants, linking it to Clipper’s smaller commercial business rather than its main apartment business. Occupancy at American Strategic Investment’s mainly Manhattan office and related commercial properties offers a narrower view of local commercial leasing demand.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    SL Green Realty Corp. earningsSLG

    SL Green’s report will show Manhattan apartment occupancy, a signal of New York rental demand for Clipper Realty’s apartment business, though the two companies do not own the same properties.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs; higher rates can raise interest expense on Clipper Realty’s approximately $148 million of variable-rate Dean Street debt, while lower rates can ease that cost.

in 16 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Clipper Realty Inc. earningsThis company

    Clipper Realty relies mainly on apartment rent, and this report will show whether apartment rents and occupancy support revenue and operating cash flow while vacant commercial space continues to weigh on income.

in 28 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced

    American Strategic Investment Co. earningsNYC

    American Strategic Investment’s report will show occupancy at its mainly Manhattan office and related commercial properties, offering a read on the New York tenant demand that matters to Clipper Realty’s smaller commercial-rent business.