Stock daily read

What happened with ESRT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

ESRT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Empire State Realty Trust’s core business is leasing office space, alongside retail space and apartments, principally in New York City. Tenants pay rent and reimburse part of the buildings’ operating expenses and property taxes under their leases. Most rental revenue comes from three buildings: the Empire State Building, One Grand Central Place and 111 West 33rd Street. The business therefore depends heavily on New York City’s property market and its ability to keep those buildings leased.

The company also sells tickets to the Empire State Building’s observation decks. This is a smaller but distinct business: visitors pay for views of New York and neighboring states, with admission managed through reservations. Revenue depends on visitor demand, particularly international tourism.

It operates as a real estate investment trust, or REIT. Keeping that tax status requires it to distribute most of its taxable income and meet rules that can limit investments, property sales and financing choices.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in ESRT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

ESRT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • SL Green Realty Corp. competes with Empire State Realty Trust for Manhattan office tenants, with both collecting rent from overlapping pools of businesses. Watch SL Green’s Manhattan leasing for signs of pressure on the rents and tenant retention Empire State can achieve.

  • Vornado Realty Trust competes with Empire State Realty Trust for rent-paying Manhattan office tenants and New York retail tenants.

  • BXP, Inc. competes with Empire State Realty Trust for New York businesses paying for well-located, modern or modernized offices. Watch leasing at BXP’s New York workplaces to gauge competition for tenants who value building quality and amenities.

  • American Strategic Investment Co. competes with Empire State Realty Trust for tenants paying rent on Manhattan offices and associated retail space. Its office and retail leasing offers another view of tenant demand in the same local market.

  • Douglas Emmett, Inc. and Empire State Realty Trust both collect office and apartment rents, making office occupancy and tenant retention important to both. Watch Douglas Emmett’s office leasing and renewals as a comparison for Empire State’s ability to keep offices occupied.

  • Kilroy Realty Corp. and Empire State Realty Trust both depend on employers renting physical offices, but Kilroy has much greater exposure to technology tenants. Technology tenants supplied 51% of Kilroy’s office-portfolio annualized base rental revenues at December 31, 2025, so read its leasing results with that customer mix in mind.

  • Cousins Properties Inc. and Empire State Realty Trust both earn rent from employers using modernized offices, though Cousins operates in U.S. Sun Belt markets rather than New York. Watch renewals and occupancy at Cousins’ amenity-rich offices for a comparison of demand for workplaces designed to help employers attract and retain staff.

  • Piedmont Realty Trust, Inc. and Empire State Realty Trust rent modern offices to employers, so occupancy and renewal rents matter to both despite their different geographic markets. Piedmont’s tenant retention provides a comparison for whether service and amenities help keep rent-paying occupants.

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  • Highwoods Properties Inc. and Empire State Realty Trust both collect office rents, so employers’ decisions to lease space matter to both despite their different regional markets. Highwoods’ office leasing is a comparison for business demand, not a direct reading of Manhattan conditions.

  • Acadia Realty Trust competes with Empire State Realty Trust for retailers paying rent on New York street-level shops in neighborhoods with limited space. Watch Acadia’s leasing in SoHo, Madison Avenue, Williamsburg and the West Village for a view of the retail demand Empire State also pursues.

Agenda

todayWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    SL Green Realty Corp. earningsSLG

    SL Green Realty Corp.'s report will show how Manhattan businesses are leasing and renewing office space, a read on the tenant demand and rents Empire State Realty Trust competes for.

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s decision on its benchmark interest rate matters to Empire State Realty Trust because higher rates can raise the cost of its SOFR-linked loans and future refinancing, leaving less rental and Observatory income available after interest and debt payments.

in 12 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    EMPIRE STATE REALTY TRUST, INC. earningsThis company

    Empire State Realty Trust's report will show whether rent from its offices and shops is supporting property earnings and how much revenue its Empire State Building Observatory brings in from visitors.

  2. Time to be announced

    Acadia Realty Trust earningsAKR

    Acadia Realty Trust's report will show how retailers are leasing storefronts in sought-after New York neighborhoods, a read on demand for the street-level shops Empire State Realty Trust also rents out.