Stock daily read

What happened with CETX today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CETX in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Cemtrex has two businesses of roughly equal revenue size: security systems and industrial services. Most of its revenue comes from the United States.

Its Vicon business supplies cameras, video monitoring and analytics, and access control systems for government agencies and commercial facilities. Cemtrex designs and supplies these products, selling principally to system integrators and channel partners that sell them to end users. These partners are its main route to customers such as prisons, hospitals and schools.

Advanced Industrial Services (AIS) earns fees from manufacturers and other industrial customers for installing, moving and maintaining production equipment. Customers hire it for equipment projects and ongoing plant upkeep. Cemtrex wins virtually all its contracts through competitive bidding, where price, reliability, past performance and technical expertise affect awards. AIS also depends on hiring and retaining skilled workers to deliver the work.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CETX’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CETX says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Cemtrex’s results depend roughly equally on demand for video surveillance and access control and on spending on industrial equipment installation and maintenance, so these industrial peers cover only half its business.

  • Matrix Service Co competes with Cemtrex’s AIS for industrial construction and maintenance work, including work paid for by chemical processors. Matrix’s Process and Industrial Facilities business is the part to watch for signs of chemical customers’ spending on plant construction and upkeep.

  • Argan, Inc’s industrial subsidiary competes with Cemtrex’s AIS for customers’ plant construction, equipment installation and maintenance work; that overlap, rather than Argan’s broader business, is the relevant comparison for Cemtrex holders.

Agenda

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Matrix Service Co earningsMTRX

    Matrix Service’s report will show whether chemical processors are spending on plant construction and upkeep—the work its Process and Industrial Facilities business shares with Cemtrex’s AIS.

in 58 daysThu, Dec 17

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    CEMTREX INC. earningsThis company

    Cemtrex’s report will show whether revenue from security products and industrial project services is turning into enough cash to fund operations and meet near-term obligations.