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What happened with CELZ today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CELZ in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Creative Medical Technology Holdings is developing cell-based treatments, including CELZ-201 CREATE-1 for type 1 diabetes and AlloStemSpine for chronic lower back pain. Both are in clinical trials and require FDA approval before commercialization. The business depends on moving these and other candidates through development into products it can sell itself or through partners.

Its small amount of current product revenue comes from CaverStem kits used in procedures involving a patient’s own cells. Patients pay for these treatments themselves; public and private insurance do not reimburse them. CaverStem is exempt from FDA premarket review and approval, unlike the company’s therapies in clinical trials.

Product revenue does not cover operating costs. The company relies on securities sales to fund development and expects to need additional capital for operations, trials and commercialization.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CELZ’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CELZ says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Mesoblast gives Creative Medical investors both a rival and a commercial benchmark for mesenchymal-cell medicines: both develop treatments that include chronic lower-back pain. Watch Mesoblast’s commercial progress for evidence of adoption of this treatment class.

  • Century Therapeutics competes for the same type 1 diabetes patients Creative Medical aims to treat with cell therapy. Watch its CNTY-813 program, which develops pancreatic beta-islet cells from induced pluripotent stem cells, for progress from this competing approach.

  • INmune Bio and Creative Medical both need evidence that their cell treatments work, although their lead indications differ. INmune Bio’s CORDStrom mesenchymal stromal-cell program offers a point of comparison for Creative Medical’s regenerative stem-cell treatments, rather than a direct contest for the same patients.

  • CRISPR Therapeutics pursues the same type 1 diabetes treatment opportunity as Creative Medical, but through a different cellular approach. Its program to replace beta cells is the one to watch alongside Creative Medical’s diabetes cell-therapy development.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Creative Medical’s Fed-rate decision matters because it can change the interest the company earns on its short-term U.S. Treasury holdings and the cost of future borrowing.

in 17 daysFri, Nov 6

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Creative Medical Technology Holdings, Inc. earningsThis company

    Creative Medical’s report will show whether progress in its clinical programs and its minimal CaverStem sales are keeping pace with the cash it uses.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced

    CRISPR Therapeutics AG earningsCRSP

    CRISPR Therapeutics’ report will show how its beta-cell replacement program is progressing, offering a read on another approach to the type 1 diabetes cell-therapy opportunity Creative Medical is pursuing.