Stock daily read

What happened with CDRO today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CDRO in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. serves people who play casino games and bet on sports online, mainly through mobile apps. Mexico is its largest market, and Spain supplies most of the remaining revenue. Online casino games generate more revenue than sports betting: players wager against the house, which retains stakes after paying winnings. For sports bets, the company sets fixed odds, pays winning bets and keeps losing stakes, so event results affect what it earns. Third-party casino-game suppliers receive a share of revenue from their games.

The company relies on Codere Group rather than owning all the assets needed to operate. It licenses the Codere brand from Codere Newco and uses the group’s technology platform in most regions; Mexico uses Playtech’s platform. Its Mexican business operates through an arrangement with Codere Group subsidiary LIFO, which holds the gaming license. Continued access to that market depends on LIFO maintaining its license and good standing.

Gaming rules limit where the company can operate, which games it can offer and how it can advertise and accept players. It must maintain the required licenses and pay gaming taxes in each market.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CDRO’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CDRO says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Codere Online hinges chiefly on online wagering and gaming taxes in Mexico and Spain, while relying on Codere Group for critical licensing and operating support and Playtech for its Mexican platform.

  • Rush Street Interactive’s RushBet competes directly with Codere Online for customers who wager on online casino games and sports in Mexico and Colombia. Watch RushBet’s customer growth in those two markets for a read on the competition Codere Online faces.

  • Super Group’s Betway and Spin earn money from online gambling customers, making wagering growth and marketing efficiency useful comparisons for Codere Online. Watch whether their marketing spending brings more wagering business as Codere Online seeks more efficient growth.

  • DraftKings and Codere Online both earn revenue from players’ casino and sports wagers, though their principal markets differ. Watch how much DraftKings keeps from sports wagers after paying winners: betting patterns and event results can make that revenue volatile in the short term, just as they can for Codere Online.

Agenda

in 7 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Rush Street Interactive, Inc. earningsRSI

    Rush Street Interactive’s report will show how RushBet is growing its customer base in Mexico and Colombia, where it competes with Codere Online.

in 12 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced

    Super Group (SGHC) Limited earningsSGHC

    Super Group’s report will show how much wagering business Betway and Spin generate alongside marketing spending, a useful comparison for Codere Online’s marketing efficiency.

in 26 daysMon, Nov 16

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. earningsThis company

    Codere Online’s report will show whether growth in casino wagering can offset swings in sports-betting revenue and leave more operating income after marketing costs.