Stock daily read

What happened with CASY today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CASY in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Casey’s General Stores serves mostly small-town shoppers, with stores concentrated in the Midwest, particularly Iowa, Missouri and Illinois. Its main store names are Casey’s and Casey’s General Store. Customers can fill up their vehicles and buy a meal or everyday supplies in the same stop. Almost all stores have kitchens, and pizza is a signature offering, sold by the slice or as made-to-order whole pies.

Fuel brings in most revenue, but food, drinks and other merchandise sold inside the stores contribute most of the money left after product costs. Prepared food and dispensed drinks carry higher margins. Casey’s supplies most stores through its own distribution centers and delivery trucks.

Earnings depend on customer visits and the gap between fuel purchase costs and pump prices. Sales tend to be stronger in warmer months, when shoppers buy more fuel and certain drinks. Tobacco and nicotine sales are subject to purchase-age requirements and other sales restrictions.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CASY’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CASY says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Casey’s results hinge on retail fuel margins and small-town store traffic, while prepared food—especially pizza—and other in-store purchases supply most gross profit.

  • Murphy USA competes with Casey’s for motorists buying fuel and convenience goods in overlapping Midwest and southern markets, so both face changes in retail fuel margins and driving demand. Watch Murphy USA’s retail fuel volumes and convenience merchandise sales for clues to spending by those shared customers.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Casey’s fuel-stock readings indicate whether crude oil and gasoline supplies are loosening or tightening, which can change the wholesale fuel costs it pays and the retail fuel margins that materially affect its earnings.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    MURPHY USA INC. earningsMUSA

    Murphy USA’s report will show whether motorists in overlapping markets are still buying fuel and convenience goods, offering Casey’s a read on shared customer demand.

in 49 daysTue, Dec 8

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Casey's General Stores Inc earningsThis company

    Casey’s earns much of its higher-margin profit inside its stores, and this report will show whether food and merchandise can support that profit beyond fuel.