Stock daily read

What happened with CAST today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

CAST in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

FreeCast’s SmartGuide brings together online television, movies and other media so viewers can find and access content through one guide. In the United States, consumers can register free at FreeCast.com and pay to add Value Channels. FreeCast also lets businesses with existing customers offer a media hub under their own brand while keeping the customer relationship, although its newer enterprise deployment models have not yet generated significant revenue.

Advertising is its largest revenue source. Customers such as LaunchThat and Del Air pay for advertising campaigns and promotional services. FreeCast also earns substantial revenue by assembling, producing and distributing free, ad-supported television channels, known as FAST channels. Channel customers pay for production work and platform distribution, and FreeCast also shares in advertising revenue. Paid subscriptions contribute a smaller share of revenue.

Two related-party customers supply a substantial share of revenue. The service also depends on access to content and on SmartGuide technology licensed from Nextelligence, a company controlled by FreeCast’s founder and chief executive. Losing that license could impair its ability to develop and sell the service.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in CAST’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

CAST says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

FreeCast's results depend not just on subscriber growth but also on related-party production of free, ad-supported streaming channels and advertising contracts with customers such as LaunchThat and Del Air.

  • FreeCast competes with Alphabet for advertisers seeking streaming audiences, selling connected-TV and digital video ads while Alphabet sells video ads through YouTube. Watch YouTube's advertising revenue as FreeCast shifts toward free registration supported by advertising.

  • FreeCast and Liftoff Mobile, Inc. compete to connect advertising buyers with publishers: FreeCast brokers ad purchases, while Liftoff helps advertisers acquire app users and app publishers sell advertising space. Liftoff's Core Advertising revenue, rather than revenue from discontinued platforms, is the line to watch for spending through its active advertising platforms.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Alphabet Inc. earningsGOOG

    Alphabet's report will show whether advertisers are sustaining spend on YouTube video ads, a signal for FreeCast as it seeks streaming-ad budgets.

in 22 daysWed, Nov 11

  1. Time to be announced

    Liftoff Mobile, Inc. earningsLFTO

    Liftoff Mobile's report will show whether advertisers are still spending through active platforms that connect ad buyers with publishers, the market FreeCast's Ad Exchange serves.

in 43 daysWed, Dec 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    FreeCast, Inc. earningsThis company

    FreeCast's report will show whether advertising and FAST platform services can turn free registrations into revenue and reduce dependence on a few related-party customers.