Stock daily read

What happened with BIVI today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

BIVI in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

BioVie’s development portfolio includes bezisterim (NE3107), an experimental oral drug being tested for Alzheimer’s disease, Parkinson’s disease and Long COVID. It is also developing BIV201, a continuously infused treatment for fluid buildup in the abdomen caused by liver cirrhosis, but has deprioritized that program because of funding constraints. Neither candidate is approved for sale, and the company has generated no revenue.

BioVie needs additional financing to advance these drugs and plans to seek equity, debt, collaboration or licensing arrangements. Future drug revenue depends on successful clinical trials, regulatory approval and market acceptance. The company relies on outside organizations to run trials and manufacture its experimental drugs, while retaining responsibility for trial compliance.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in BIVI’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

BIVI says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

BioVie hinges on clinical results and further financing, while Ocelot Bio—absent from this list—is one to watch for potential competition to its liver-disease program.

  • Annovis Bio is developing buntanetap for the same potential Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s patient populations as BioVie’s bezisterim, making it a rival for those future treatments.

  • Biogen develops and sells Alzheimer’s therapies that compete for patients and treatment adoption with BioVie’s investigational bezisterim. Watch progress in Biogen’s Alzheimer’s treatments: development and approval speed, and when treatments reach the market, are competitive factors BioVie identifies.

  • Eli Lilly’s Alzheimer’s drug programs compete with BioVie’s bezisterim for treating Alzheimer’s disease; Lilly also manufactures and markets medicines, rather than only developing them. Its Alzheimer’s development and approval progress is worth watching because BioVie identifies speed to approval and the ability to supply commercial quantities as competitive factors.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Biogen Inc. earningsBIIB

    Biogen’s report will show how its Alzheimer’s treatments are progressing toward patients, indicating when it could intensify competition with BioVie’s drug candidate.

in 20 daysMon, Nov 9

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    BioVie, Inc. earningsThis company

    BioVie has no product revenue, so its report will show whether trial spending is rising and whether its available funds can keep drug development moving.