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What happened with AWR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AWR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Most of American States Water Company’s revenue comes from Golden State Water Company, which supplies drinking water to California homes and businesses. Its smaller electric utility, Bear Valley Electric Service, supplies the Big Bear area. Customers pay rates set by the California Public Utilities Commission, intended to cover operating costs and provide a return on investment in utility infrastructure.

These utilities depend on regulatory approval to recover costs through customer bills. The water business also depends on how much water customers use and the mix of supplies it pumps or buys. Its current regulatory protections no longer fully offset changes in consumption or water-supply mix.

American States Utility Services (ASUS) provides a second substantial revenue source by operating, maintaining and rebuilding water and wastewater systems at U.S. military bases. It earns management fees and construction payments under long-term contracts, with the U.S. government supplying the vast majority of this revenue. Profit depends on construction activity and timely approval of contract price adjustments to cover costs. Although the contracts are long-term, the government can end them early for its convenience.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AWR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AWR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • California Water Service and American States Water both rely mainly on selling water to California customers, so California water conditions and utility regulation matter to both. Watch its California customer consumption and water-supply costs: American States Water warns that its revised rate protections leave earnings exposed to those changes.

  • American Water and American States Water both sell water through regulated utilities, but they also compete directly for U.S. government contracts to operate water and wastewater systems at military installations. Watch American Water's military contract awards, where it competes with American States Water's ASUS business for government-paid work.

  • H2O America's San Jose Water and American States Water's Golden State Water both sell water through California networks and depend on California Public Utilities Commission rate decisions to recover their investment. Watch San Jose Water's approved customer rates for a view of the regulatory issue both face.

  • Essential Utilities' Aqua utilities and American States Water's Golden State Water both invest in water systems and rely on approved customer rates to recover costs and earn a return. Focus on Aqua's water business rather than Essential's Peoples gas business when comparing that investment-and-rate model with American States Water.

  • Middlesex Water Co and American States Water both collect customer payments from regulated water networks and fees for operating water and wastewater systems under contract. Middlesex's contract revenue comes from municipal and private clients mainly in New Jersey and Delaware, unlike American States Water's military-installation work, so compare those revenue streams separately.

  • Artesian Resources Corp and American States Water earn most of their utility revenue by selling water through regulated networks, making infrastructure funding and recovery through customer rates important to both. Artesian Water generated approximately 80.5% of Artesian's consolidated operating revenue in 2025, making its Delaware water business the clearest comparison.

  • York Water and American States Water both sell drinking water through regulated networks, with infrastructure investment and commission-approved customer rates shaping their utility earnings. Watch York Water's territory additions and utility acquisitions, which generally require Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission approval, for how it expands that water business.

Agenda

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    H2O America earningsHTO

    H2O America's report will show how San Jose Water turns California Public Utilities Commission-approved rates into revenue and earnings, a regulatory question Golden State Water also faces.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    American Water Works Company, Inc earningsAWK

    American Water's report will show what military-base water and wastewater work it wins, indicating how actively it competes with American States Water's ASUS for government-paid contracts.

  2. Time to be announced

    California Water Service earningsCWT

    California Water Service's water use and supply costs offer a read on pressures shared across California water utilities, including American States Water's exposure to changes in use and supply costs.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    American States Water Company earningsThis company

    American States Water's report will show whether approved utility rates and military-base service revenue can support earnings as water use and supply costs change.