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What happened with AOMR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
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What to watch next
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Investment outlook

AOMR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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Company

Company overview

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT buys home loans rather than originating them itself. It focuses on newly originated non-qualified mortgages, or non-QM loans, which may use more flexible income documentation, credit-history or debt-to-income standards. Borrowers’ interest payments support income from loans it owns directly and through mortgage-backed securities; third-party servicers collect the loan payments.

The company borrows to buy and accumulate loans, then pools loans into trusts that issue bonds to investors—a process called securitization. This provides longer-term funding, while the company retains bonds that earn income and carry mortgage credit risk. Its earnings depend on the interest left after funding costs and borrower losses, and on access to lenders and securitization markets.

Falcons I, LLC, an Angel Oak Capital affiliate, manages the company. Affiliated Angel Oak Mortgage Lending supplies a substantial share of its loans, making that platform important to continued purchases, although it is not obligated to sell loans to the company. Directly acquired non-QM loans have no U.S. government or government-sponsored guarantee.

REIT rules require the company to distribute most of its taxable income and restrict its assets and income sources. Maintaining its exclusion from investment-company regulation also limits its portfolio choices. Securitization risk-retention rules require it to keep credit exposure in applicable transactions and generally prohibit hedging that retained credit risk.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

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Moat

AOMR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

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Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Angel Oak Mortgage REIT's results depend on non-QM borrowers repaying their loans, financing and securitization spreads, and loan supply from its affiliated Angel Oak Mortgage Lending platform.

  • TPG Mortgage Investment Trust competes with Angel Oak to buy newly originated non-agency home loans and package them into bonds, with both drawing loans from affiliated lenders and earning interest from borrowers. Watch TPG's loan sourcing through Arc Home and securitization activity for a comparison with Angel Oak's ability to acquire and finance new loans.

  • MFA Financial is a close comparison for Angel Oak's borrower-credit risk and loan returns: both buy and finance non-QM home loans and mortgage-backed securities, earning income from mortgage payments. MFA's residential whole-loan performance is the more relevant comparison than its broader securities holdings.

  • Chimera Investment competes with Angel Oak for residential loans and non-agency mortgage securities; both use borrowed money, so borrower repayments and the gap between investment income and funding costs matter to returns. Watch Chimera's Investment Portfolio net interest income—the interest it collects less what it pays to borrow—rather than treating its mortgage-origination business as the same exposure.

  • Ellington Financial competes with Angel Oak to buy residential loans and securities funded by mortgage payments, with returns sensitive to credit spreads and borrowing costs. Its mortgage-credit investments offer a closer comparison for Angel Oak than Longbridge's business of making, selling and servicing reverse mortgages.

  • Adamas Trust shares Angel Oak's exposure to residential collateral values and mortgage-credit returns, earning much of its revenue from a portfolio dominated by residential mortgage assets. Watch that portfolio's interest income separately from Constructive, which earns revenue by making and selling rental and transitional loans to real estate investors.

  • Annaly Capital Management's Residential Credit Group overlaps with Angel Oak in buying non-agency home loans and bonds backed by mortgage payments. Watch that group's results rather than Annaly's overall earnings, which also reflect substantial investments in agency-guaranteed mortgage bonds and rights to collect fees for servicing home loans.

  • PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust and Angel Oak both depend on housing-credit performance and mortgage valuations: PennyMac holds investments that bear mortgage credit losses and mortgage-backed bonds, while Angel Oak holds home loans and mortgage bonds. Watch PennyMac's credit-sensitive investments separately from its business of buying, pooling and reselling newly originated prime-credit loans.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Angel Oak Mortgage REIT earns interest on non-QM mortgage loans and other mortgage assets but pays to finance them, so the Fed’s policy-rate decision matters because short-term borrowing costs can rise faster than income on its loans adjusts.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    TPG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. earningsMITT

    TPG Mortgage Investment Trust sources newly originated non-agency home loans through Arc Home and securitizes them, so its report will show whether loan supply and financing channels are open for Angel Oak Mortgage REIT too.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    MFA Financial, Inc earningsMFA

    MFA Financial holds residential whole loans, so its report will show whether borrowers in the non-QM mortgage market shared with Angel Oak Mortgage REIT are still paying or credit losses are rising.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc. earningsThis company

    Angel Oak Mortgage REIT earns from mortgage payments after paying to fund its loans, and this report will show whether borrower payments still cover those funding costs.