Stock daily read

What happened with AJG today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AJG in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. helps businesses, public bodies and nonprofits obtain insurance and manage employee benefit programs. It connects clients with insurers rather than taking on net underwriting risk itself. Brokerage supplies most of its revenue, led by insurance placed directly for clients; Gallagher Re also helps insurers arrange reinsurance. Insurers generally pay commissions tied to client premiums, while clients may pay negotiated fees instead.

A smaller business handles claims for organizations that self-insure and insurers that outsource claims work. These customers pay Gallagher to settle and administer claims, generally through fees per claim or service. This is a separate source of business, not mainly an add-on for its brokerage customers.

Most revenue comes from the United States, but Gallagher serves clients worldwide and does not depend heavily on any single client. Its brokerage income depends on insurance premium levels, which it generally does not set, and the commission rates insurers pay. Insurers also make additional payments linked to the volume or profitability of business placed. Its operations are subject to licensing and other regulatory requirements that govern the services it can offer and how it can be paid.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AJG’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AJG says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Gallagher’s results hinge on insurance premium levels, client retention and acquisitions, so watch privately held brokerage rivals Lockton, Hub International and USI as well as the listed companies.

  • Brown & Brown competes with Gallagher to arrange commercial insurance and employee benefits for clients, and to place coverage for other brokers. Its Retail results offer a comparison for Gallagher’s retail brokerage business, which generated 75% of brokerage revenue in 2025.

  • Marsh competes globally with Gallagher for clients paying to arrange insurance and reinsurance or obtain employee benefits advice. Watch its insurance and reinsurance broking results and Mercer’s health consulting business for a view of the markets Gallagher serves.

  • Aon competes with Gallagher for commercial insurance, reinsurance and employer benefits advisory clients. Its work designing insurance programs and assessing clients’ losses makes Commercial Risk Solutions a useful business to watch alongside Gallagher’s commercial insurance brokerage.

  • Willis Towers Watson (WTW) competes worldwide with Gallagher for commercial insurance brokerage and employer benefits consulting clients, earning commissions or fees by arranging coverage and providing advice rather than taking on insurance risk itself. Its Risk & Broking results provide a more focused brokerage comparison than its larger Health, Wealth & Career business.

  • Ryan Specialty competes with Gallagher’s wholesale business by helping retail brokers find coverage for complex or hard-to-place risks, earning commissions and fees. Watch its Wholesale Brokerage revenue rather than its total revenue: Gallagher’s wholesale operation generated 13% of brokerage revenue in 2025, mostly from unaffiliated brokers.

  • The Baldwin Insurance Group competes with Gallagher for business clients buying commercial property/casualty insurance, employee benefits and risk-management advice. Its insurance commissions normally follow premium levels, making that revenue line worth watching alongside Gallagher’s exposure to insurance premiums.

  • CorVel competes with Gallagher to handle workers’ compensation claims for self-insured employers and insurers, with customers buying bundled claims management or individual services. Watch its bundled programs for self-insured employers: workers’ compensation claims generated about 59% of Gallagher’s risk-management revenue in 2025.

  • Crawford & Company competes with Gallagher for fees from insurers and self-insured organizations to investigate, assess and settle property/casualty claims. Its North America Loss Adjusting results show the business of handling property, liability, auto and marine claims in the U.S. and Canada, a comparison for Gallagher’s claims services rather than its brokerage.

Agenda

in 6 daysMon, Oct 26

  1. Time to be announced

    Brown & Brown, Inc. earningsBRO

    Brown & Brown’s Retail results show whether clients are still placing business through the retail brokerage channel that makes up most of Gallagher’s brokerage revenue.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. earningsThis company

    Gallagher earns most of its revenue from brokerage, and this report will show whether organic client-driven growth is holding up after service costs.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Corvel Corp earningsCRVL

    Corvel Corp’s results for bundled claims programs show whether self-insured employers and insurers are buying workers’ compensation services, a key market for Gallagher’s risk-management business.