Stock daily read

What happened with AEIS today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

AEIS in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Advanced Energy Industries turns electricity from utility or facility supplies into precisely controlled power for complex equipment. Semiconductor equipment is its largest market, followed by data center computing; together they generate most of its revenue. Its products include power supplies for semiconductor processing and power systems built into data center servers, storage systems and racks. It also serves industrial, medical and communications equipment markets.

Equipment manufacturers, distributors and end users worldwide pay for its products. Product sales provide most revenue, with repair, maintenance, calibration and upgrades adding a smaller stream. To secure future sales, the company must get its products selected for customers’ next-generation equipment; those sales then depend on customers successfully selling and deploying that equipment.

A small group of large customers supplies much of the revenue, generally without long-term purchase commitments. Their orders and spending on new equipment therefore matter heavily to the business. U.S. export controls restrict certain semiconductor and supercomputing products and services sold in China. Keeping some Chinese business depends on obtaining export licenses, and some customers there have already shifted purchases to competitors outside those rules.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in AEIS’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

AEIS says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • MKS competes with Advanced Energy for semiconductor-equipment customers buying power supplies for plasma processing, reactive-gas products and sensors. Watch MKS’s progress in these products against Advanced Energy’s push to win more etch and deposition business.

  • Lam Research’s etch and deposition orders matter to Advanced Energy because Lam uses its power products in chipmaking equipment sold to semiconductor manufacturers. Those orders are a concrete signal to watch for demand for Advanced Energy’s components.

  • Applied Materials’ chipmaking-equipment orders feed into demand for Advanced Energy’s components: Applied buys its power products to build equipment for semiconductor manufacturers.

  • Vicor Corp competes with Advanced Energy to sell power-conversion products for server racks and data-center infrastructure, with overlap in industrial and telecom markets too. Watch Vicor’s business with data-center and hyperscale customers, where rising AI rack power needs put efficiency and compact size at a premium.

  • Vertiv and Advanced Energy serve the same expanding data centers: Vertiv sells power and cooling infrastructure, while Advanced Energy supplies power-conversion products inside servers and racks. Watch demand for Vertiv’s data-center power and cooling systems as a sign of the facility investment supporting Advanced Energy’s rack-power business.

  • KLA and Advanced Energy both depend on investment in increasingly complex chip production: KLA sells equipment that controls manufacturing processes, while Advanced Energy supplies precision power for fabrication tools. KLA’s Semiconductor Process Control business is the part to watch for this shared demand.

  • Nova Ltd. shares Advanced Energy’s exposure to more complex chip fabrication: Nova sells systems and software that measure dimensions, films and materials during production, while Advanced Energy supplies precision plasma power. Demand for Nova’s measurement products offers a view of the process complexity supporting Advanced Energy’s plasma-power opportunity.

  • Benchmark Electronics shares Advanced Energy’s exposure to semiconductor-equipment, industrial and medical demand: equipment makers pay Benchmark to design and manufacture assemblies and electronics, while those markets also buy Advanced Energy’s power products. Watch Benchmark’s sales in these three markets rather than its total sales.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Vicor Corp earningsVICR

    Vicor’s report will show whether the server-rack power market is expanding and how strongly Vicor is competing with Advanced Energy for designs.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    Lam Research Corp earningsLRCX

    Lam Research’s etch and deposition orders will show how chipmakers’ demand for those tools is changing, offering a signal for demand for Advanced Energy’s power products.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Vertiv Holdings Co earningsVRT

    Vertiv’s report will show whether data-center investment in power and cooling infrastructure is continuing, a signal for demand behind Advanced Energy’s server- and rack-power business.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Advanced Energy Industries Inc earningsThis company

    Advanced Energy’s report will show whether demand from data-center and semiconductor-equipment customers is turning into broader growth that also protects profitability.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    MKS Inc. earningsMKSI

    MKS’s report will show how its semiconductor-equipment power products are progressing, and how much competition Advanced Energy faces for those customers.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production tracks output from factories, mines and utilities; stronger activity can lift demand for Advanced Energy’s power-conversion products and services, while weaker activity can weigh on sales.