Stock daily read

What happened with XMTR today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

XMTR in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Xometry serves buyers that need parts made to their specifications. Its online quoting engine gives prices, design feedback and proposed shipping dates before the company sources production from suppliers. Buyers pay Xometry for the parts, and Xometry pays suppliers to manufacture them; these orders generate most of its revenue, rather than advertising or software fees.

The business depends on buyers continuing to place orders and suppliers providing the manufacturing capacity and capabilities they need. Xometry commits to a buyer’s price before agreeing on the supplier’s cost, so it must find suitable production below that price. It also takes responsibility for meeting buyer specifications and replacing nonconforming orders. Repeat purchases from existing buyer accounts are important to the business.

A smaller business, Thomasnet, helps industrial buyers find suppliers and charges industrial advertisers for digital marketing. Its performance-based listings let advertisers set budgets and pay when potential buyers interact with their profiles. Xometry relies on Stripe to process buyer and supplier payments. Export controls and sanctions restrict some transactions, and certain product or technology shipments require an export license or a verified exemption.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in XMTR’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

XMTR says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

Xometry’s results depend on enterprise demand for custom-manufactured parts and its supplier network’s capacity, quality and pricing—not the unrelated marketplace and service businesses supplied here.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)

    Durable goods orders track purchases of long-lasting goods and equipment; stronger orders can lead manufacturers and other Xometry buyers to purchase more custom parts and assemblies through its marketplace, while weaker orders can reduce those sales.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Xometry, Inc. earningsThis company

    Xometry’s report will show whether it can connect more buyers with manufacturers while keeping more gross profit from each dollar of marketplace sales.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track factory, mine and utility output and how much available capacity is in use; stronger activity may prompt Xometry’s manufacturing buyers to order more custom parts through its marketplace, while weaker activity may reduce those sales.