Stock daily read

What happened with WNC today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

WNC in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Wabash National Corp. supplies the trailers and truck bodies that carriers, fleet-leasing companies and retailers use to move goods. New trailers generate most of its revenue. Its largest product line is dry vans—enclosed, non-refrigerated freight trailers—sold under the DuraPlate and DuraPlate HD names using its proprietary composite wall panels. Large fleets buy directly from Wabash; independent dealers buy equipment to serve mainly smaller carriers and private fleets.

Wabash also earns money from replacement parts, maintenance, fitting specialized bodies onto trucks, and leasing and subleasing trailers through Trailers as a Service. Beyond freight equipment, it makes storage tanks and processing equipment for customers in markets such as food and beverages, pharmaceuticals and chemicals. These activities are smaller than its transportation-equipment business.

Demand depends on freight activity and whether carriers have the profits and financing to buy equipment. A small group of large customers supplies a substantial share of sales, though no single customer dominates. Production also relies on a limited number of suppliers for key materials and components. Vehicle rules constrain trailer dimensions, weight and safety features, and most tank trailers must meet requirements governing tank design and materials.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in WNC’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

WNC says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Wabash’s results hinge on freight carriers’ profitability and trailer replacement spending, making J.B. Hunt’s multi-year order agreement worth watching even though that customer is absent from this list.

  • Werner Enterprises buys trailers from Wabash, so its freight profits and equipment spending feed into Wabash’s orders. Watch its earnings from hauling full truckloads for retail distribution centers and manufacturing facilities: carrier profitability affects both the need for new trailers and the ability to pay for them.

  • Schneider National buys Wabash trailers, linking the money it earns transporting customers’ freight across the United States, Canada and Mexico to Wabash’s equipment demand. Watch whether customer fuel surcharges cover diesel-price increases: Schneider says those charges have not always fully offset the increases, leaving pressure on carrier profitability.

  • Heartland Express’s freight demand and profitability help gauge the market for dry-van trailers, Wabash’s largest product line. Heartland earns its money mainly by hauling full truckloads in dry vans for major U.S. shippers, making that business’s performance a useful sign of carriers’ need and ability to buy new trailers.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line buys Wabash trailers, so its freight activity and fleet investment help explain demand for Wabash’s products. It earns most of its revenue carrying customers’ shipments that do not fill a truck—less-than-truckload freight—whose demand is tied to U.S. industrial production and the domestic economy.

  • FedEx Freight Holding Company buys Wabash trailers, tying its freight activity and fleet spending to Wabash’s orders. It earns revenue carrying customers’ shipments smaller than a full truckload; watch activity in its urgent, time-definite Priority service and its more flexible Economy service for signs of the freight demand behind trailer spending.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Werner Enterprises Inc earningsWERN

    Werner Enterprises’ report will show whether its truckload business earns enough to support trailer purchases from Wabash National.

  2. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep)

    Durable goods orders track new orders for long-lasting products and equipment, so stronger demand can lead Wabash’s fleet and carrier customers to buy more DuraPlate trailers and truck bodies, lifting shipment revenue.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Wabash National Corp. earningsThis company

    Wabash National earns most of its sales from trailers, and this report will show whether fleets are ordering again and whether the company can keep more profit on each trailer.

  2. Time to be announced

    Heartland Express Inc earningsHTLD

    Heartland Express’s dry-van truckload business offers a read on demand and carriers’ ability to buy the dry-van trailers that make up Wabash National’s largest product line.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 9:15 AMET pre-market

    Industrial Production MoM (Oct)

    Industrial production and capacity use track factory, mine and utility output and how much production capacity is in use; stronger activity can increase demand for Wabash’s trailers and truck bodies used by carriers and fleets moving goods and equipment, supporting shipments and sales.