Stock daily read

What happened with VRA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

VRA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Vera Bradley sells women’s handbags, luggage and travel items, alongside accessories, home goods and gifts. Bags and travel products account for most revenue. Consumers buy primarily through its U.S. full-line and outlet stores, websites such as verabradley.com, and online marketplaces. These direct sales make up the large majority of the business.

Its smaller VB Indirect business sells merchandise to retailers for resale and earns royalties from companies licensed to use the Vera Bradley brand. Most indirect revenue comes from a small group of retail accounts, although no single indirect retailer dominates company-wide sales. Pura Vida is no longer part of the company following its sale.

The business depends on designs that shoppers want and having the right inventory available without excessive discounting. Mall traffic matters because substantially all its direct stores are in regional malls. Contract manufacturers make its products, largely in Asia, so reliable production and imports are also essential. U.S. law generally bars imports made wholly or partly in Xinjiang or by designated entities unless the importer overcomes the law’s presumption of forced labor.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in VRA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

VRA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Tapestry’s Coach and Kate Spade compete with Vera Bradley for women’s spending on handbags, accessories and gifts through stores, online sales and wholesale retailers. Watch sales of those products at both brands for a read on competition in Vera Bradley’s core categories.

  • Capri Holdings’ Michael Kors competes with Vera Bradley for women’s handbag and accessory spending, though Michael Kors targets a more upscale market.

Agenda

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    Vera Bradley sells bags and travel goods made partly with petroleum-based materials, so this release tracks crude oil and fuel stocks that can affect the freight and material costs it pays.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced

    Tapestry, Inc. earningsTPR

    Tapestry's report will show how sales at Coach and Kate Spade are faring in handbags and accessories, where those brands compete with Vera Bradley for women's spending.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. 8:30 AMET pre-market

    Retail Sales MoM (Oct)

    Vera Bradley sells discretionary bags and travel goods through its stores, websites and wholesale retailers, so retail sales track consumer spending that can change how much merchandise customers buy and the company earns.

in 51 daysThu, Dec 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Vera Bradley, Inc. earningsThis company

    Vera Bradley earns most of its revenue through its direct business, and this report will show whether sales are stabilizing without its gross margin giving way.