Stock daily read

What happened with UMH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

UMH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

UMH Properties, Inc. serves residents who either own a manufactured home and rent the land beneath it, or rent both the home and its site from UMH. These rents provide most of its revenue. Placing company-owned rental homes on vacant sites lets UMH earn income from both the home and land rather than leave the site empty.

Its subsidiary UMH Sales and Finance, Inc. (S&F) also sells homes, helping fill vacant community sites, and serves buyers placing homes on private land. It earns income from home sales and interest on buyer loans. S&F relies exclusively on Triad Financial Services for its third-party loan-origination and servicing program; S&F purchases the approved loans and transfers them to UMH.

The rental business depends on keeping sites and homes occupied, residents paying rent, and the ability to raise rents. Its properties are concentrated in the Eastern United States, making local housing conditions important. Rent-control laws in some markets restrict rent increases and the recovery of higher operating or improvement costs.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in UMH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

UMH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Sun Communities and UMH compete for manufactured-home community residents, charging them site rent and selling or renting them homes. Watch Sun’s manufactured-home site rental income and home sales and rentals as comparisons for UMH, rather than its RV and UK holiday businesses.

  • Equity Lifestyle Properties and UMH compete in owning manufactured-home communities, collecting site rent from homeowners and selling and renting homes. Its site-leasing business offers a comparison for UMH’s recurring rent income, with both companies describing lower maintenance costs than other forms of rental real estate.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc. earningsELS

    Equity Lifestyle Properties’ report will show how rents and occupancy are holding up in manufactured-home communities, a direct comparison for the business UMH Properties shares with it.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s policy rate, the rate that guides borrowing costs across the economy, affects what UMH pays on variable-rate debt and refinancing and what S&F’s homebuyers may pay to finance a manufactured home.

in 13 daysMon, Nov 2

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    UMH Properties, Inc. earningsThis company

    UMH Properties earns recurring income from community rents and rental homes, and this report will show whether rents and occupancy are keeping ahead of community operating costs.