UFI in three months: buy, wait or sell?
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
- Buy / Wait / Sell rating
- 3-month target price
- Bear · Base · Bull
- vs. the market
What happened with UFI today?
No read yet
Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.
Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.
UNIFI supplies yarn manufacturers, knitters and weavers that turn its products into yarn and fabric, mostly for apparel. It makes products to customer specifications and ships against their orders; these textile manufacturers, rather than the clothing brands they serve, generally pay UNIFI. It manufactures in the Americas and Brazil, while its Asia business sources products from outside suppliers for resale rather than operating its own factories.
Its flagship REPREVE brand supplies recycled polyester and nylon products. UNIFI processes discarded plastic bottles into material used in its recycled-polyester supply chain and also sells that material to other manufacturers. REPREVE’s traceability and certification help customers support claims about recycled content. Another important business is yarn that meets regional trade-agreement and U.S. Berry Amendment origin requirements. Qualifying regional inputs are necessary for production, and meeting trade-agreement rules helps customers obtain duty-free treatment for apparel.
Sales depend on programs run by a relatively small group of brand partners, even though no single direct customer supplies a dominant share of company revenue. Brands and customers can stop using its products with little notice or penalty. Earnings also depend on raw-material and energy costs and how quickly UNIFI can pass increases through to customers.
The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.
Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.
UNIFI’s results hinge on apparel demand, adoption of recycled yarn and raw-material costs; watch important customer Milliken and key suppliers NanYa and Reliance Industries, none of which appears in this list.
Housing Starts (Sep)
UNIFI’s furnishings-related products are sold to customers serving the housing market, so homebuilding and home sales can shape their orders and UNIFI’s sales.
Expected1.31MLast release1.275M
If it comes in above expectations
If the reading is above the 1.31M estimate, it is above the previous 1.275M. More construction and home sales than expected may lift demand for home furnishings, increasing orders for UNIFI’s yarns and fibers used in that market.
If it comes in below expectations
Less construction and home sales than expected may weaken furnishings demand, reducing customer orders for UNIFI’s related products.
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)
UNIFI uses petroleum-based chemicals and energy in production, so oil and fuel supply conditions can change its input costs and the margins left after selling yarns and fibers.
Falling stocks point to tighter oil and fuel supply, which may add cost pressure if UNIFI cannot pass it through; rising stocks point to possible cost relief.
Fed Interest Rate Decision
For UNIFI, Fed rate decisions matter because borrowing costs shape housing demand for its furnishings-related products, which customers buy to make home furnishings.
Expected4.0%Last release4.0%
If it comes in above expectations
If rates rise more than expected, costlier mortgages may constrain housing activity and reduce orders for UNIFI’s furnishings-related yarns and fibers.
If it comes in below expectations
If rates fall more than expected, cheaper borrowing may support housing activity and increase demand for UNIFI’s furnishings-related products.
UNIFI, Inc. earningsThis company
UNIFI’s report will show whether sales of its yarns and recycled fibers, together with manufacturing costs, are improving the company’s profits.
Read net sales and gross profit together: stable or rising sales with further gross-profit improvement would show that cost control and better execution are supporting earnings as demand holds; falling sales and weaker gross profit would show that cautious customer buying and competition still outweigh cost improvements. Then check whether REPREVE Fiber sales have stopped declining: a recovery would point to firmer demand for these recycled products, while another drop would show continued pressure on that business.
Industrial Production MoM (Oct)
Factory, mine and utility output tracks activity among industries served by UNIFI’s polyester and nylon customers, which can affect their orders and the company’s sales.
Rising industrial output would suggest firmer demand for the materials UNIFI’s customers use; falling output would suggest weaker demand and possible order pressure.