Stock daily read

What happened with TWIN today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TWIN in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Twin Disc, Incorporated supplies equipment that transfers and controls power in boats and heavy-duty machinery used off public roads. Marine transmissions and propulsion systems generate most of its sales. It also sells transmissions, clutches and related controls for land-based machinery used in energy, natural resources and industrial work.

Customers include pleasure-craft, commercial and military marine users, alongside industrial and government buyers. They buy through the company’s direct sales force and distributor network, with most sales going to customers outside the United States.

Demand depends on customers’ willingness to buy equipment: government spending affects military and public-sector purchases, while oil prices and energy-sector investment influence orders for drilling-related products. Customers may repair existing equipment rather than replace it when conditions weaken. Production also relies on outside suppliers for castings, forgings and critical components, some available from only one supplier.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TWIN’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TWIN says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Allison competes with Twin Disc for energy customers buying off-highway transmissions and for specialty-vehicle propulsion business. Watch Allison’s news on North American off-highway energy applications and specialty vehicles, where its competitive position bears directly on Twin Disc.

  • Caterpillar competes with Twin Disc in off-highway energy equipment, while its marine engines serve the same market as Twin Disc’s marine gears. Caterpillar’s marine-engine business is worth watching for clues to spending by the boat customers who also buy Twin Disc’s transmission equipment.

  • Kirby provides a route to customers for Twin Disc’s marine gears by distributing and servicing them; its barge transport and oilfield-equipment businesses also share markets that drive Twin Disc’s sales. Watch Kirby’s equipment and repair business serving marine and oilfield-service customers for clues to demand for Twin Disc’s marine and off-highway transmission equipment.

  • Oil States International, Inc. sells marine clutches that overlap with Twin Disc’s offerings, and its well-completion business shares the energy activity that drives Twin Disc’s off-highway transmission sales. Oil States sets up and operates equipment at customers’ wells for daily fees, making its completion and production service revenue a useful gauge of that activity.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced

    Kirby Corporation earningsKEX

    Kirby’s report will show whether marine and oilfield customers are buying and servicing equipment through a distributor that sells and services Twin Disc marine gears.

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced

    ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC. earningsALSN

    Allison Transmission’s report will show activity in off-highway energy and specialty-vehicle markets it shares with Twin Disc, as well as how strongly Allison is competing there.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Twin Disc, Incorporated earningsThis company

    Twin Disc’s report will show whether sales of marine and off-highway equipment are translating into stronger manufacturing profit.

  2. Time to be announced

    OIL STATES INTERNATIONAL, INC. earningsOIS

    Oil States International’s report will show whether well-completion and production activity is strong, a source of energy-market demand for Twin Disc off-highway transmissions.