Stock daily read

What happened with TV today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TV in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Grupo Televisa is now primarily a telecommunications business, with most revenue coming from Mexico. Its largest business sells households and small businesses internet, television and telephone packages under the izzi brand, collecting monthly service and equipment rental fees. Sky supplies satellite pay television and is the next-largest revenue source. A smaller business, Bestel, charges carriers and business customers for data connectivity and managed telecommunications services over fiber networks.

The company transferred its former content business to TelevisaUnivision and retains a substantial stake without controlling that company. TelevisaUnivision’s performance therefore matters to the value of this investment. It is also a key programming supplier: Grupo Televisa’s television platforms depend on content contracts with a company whose content assets it no longer controls.

Operating the networks requires Mexican government concessions and compliance with renewal conditions. Broadcasting rules also require access to certain infrastructure for other broadcasters and limit exclusive rights to specified major events unless sublicensing rights are available to other Mexican broadcasters.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TV’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TV says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Grupo Televisa’s results hinge on Mexican broadband rivalry with Totalplay, Megacable and Telmex, keeping satellite subscribers, and its substantial stake in privately held TelevisaUnivision, which this list cannot show.

  • Netflix competes for monthly subscription spending with Grupo Televisa’s cable television and Sky satellite packages in Mexico, making its streaming appeal a threat to television subscriber retention. Watch Netflix’s series, films and live programming as competing reasons for viewers to pay for video.

  • AT&T sells mobile service to Mexican consumers that Grupo Televisa’s growing izzi mobile business also seeks to win. AT&T’s Latin America wireless results are the relevant part to watch for this competition, rather than its U.S. phone and broadband businesses.

  • The Walt Disney Company’s Disney+ competes with Grupo Televisa’s cable television and Sky satellite packages for Mexican households’ paid video subscriptions. Disney’s streaming subscription business, which earns fees from viewers alongside advertising revenue, is the part most relevant to that rivalry.

Agenda

todayTue, Oct 20

  1. Time to be announced

    NetFlix Inc earningsNFLX

    Netflix’s Latin America results and programming offer a read on streaming’s pull with paying viewers, a rival to Televisa’s cable and Sky packages.

tomorrowWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    AT&T Inc. earningsT

    AT&T’s Latin America wireless results offer a regional read on the competition for Mexican mobile customers that Televisa’s izzi service is trying to win.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Grupo Televisa S.A. earningsThis company

    Televisa’s report will show whether broadband and mobile services bring in enough to offset customers leaving its cable and satellite TV businesses.