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What happened with TH today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

TH in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Target Hospitality provides places to stay, meals and day-to-day facilities services where customers need to house workers near project sites. Companies pay it to supply and manage accommodation rather than arrange housing and services themselves. Lodging with hospitality services supplies most revenue; construction fees are another substantial source. Its largest business serves natural-resource companies in the Permian Basin of Texas and New Mexico.

The company also builds and runs workforce communities for remote mineral and infrastructure projects. These include Lithium Nevada’s Thacker Pass Project and a regional data center campus in the southwestern United States. Customers pay for construction and ongoing accommodation services. Agreements often run for several years and can require exclusive use of Target’s facilities; some guarantee minimum payments regardless of occupancy, while others depend on use.

A separate government business provides facilities and hospitality services through a government contractor at the Dilley Immigration Processing Center in Texas. That business now relies on one customer. The Dilley contract provides minimum revenue regardless of occupancy, but depends on annual federal funding and can be canceled for convenience on short notice. Across the company, a small group of large customers supplies much of the revenue, with one workforce-housing customer contributing a substantial share. Demand depends on customers’ project spending, timing and workforce deployment.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in TH’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

TH says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Target Hospitality's results hinge on Permian Basin workforce demand, government immigration-facility contracts and major construction and hospitality commitments such as Lithium Nevada's Thacker Pass project.

  • Civeo and Target Hospitality both earn revenue from housing and feeding workers for remote resource and infrastructure customers, so project staffing drives demand for both. Civeo's accommodation and hospitality-services revenue in Australia and Canada offers a read on that shared demand, rather than on Target's US locations directly.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. 10:30 AMET

    EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/16)

    For Target Hospitality, EIA reports track how much crude oil and gasoline is in storage, which can influence oil prices, Permian customer activity and demand for its lodging and services.

in 11 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    Civeo Corporation earningsCVEO

    Civeo's report will show demand for worker lodging and meals at remote projects in Australia and Canada, offering Target Hospitality a read on project staffing demand the two businesses share.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Target Hospitality Corp. earningsThis company

    Target Hospitality's report will show whether HFS–South can protect lodging and service margins from lower daily rates and higher food and utility costs, and whether WHS can shift from construction fees to community operations.