Stock daily read

What happened with SYM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SYM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Symbotic helps retailers and wholesale distributors automate the movement of goods through warehouses, from receiving merchandise to preparing it for delivery. Its robots and AI-powered software unpack incoming pallets, store and retrieve goods, and assemble outbound pallets. Customers buy the hardware and software together as an installed system and pay at milestones through final acceptance. These system sales provide nearly all revenue; Symbotic then charges for software maintenance and support and may operate systems temporarily before customers take over. Walmart and GreenBox pay implementation costs plus an agreed profit amount, sometimes subject to cost caps.

Walmart supplies most of Symbotic’s revenue. Walmart and GreenBox, its warehouse-as-a-service joint venture with SoftBank, also account for the vast majority of contracted work awaiting completion. The business therefore depends heavily on deployments for these two customers and on delivering systems that meet agreed performance standards. The Walmart distribution-center agreement also restricts Symbotic from selling or licensing to a specified company and its subsidiaries, affiliates or dedicated service providers.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SYM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SYM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Symbotic’s results hinge heavily on deployments for Walmart and GreenBox, its warehouse-as-a-service joint venture with SoftBank Group, whose agreements cover the vast majority of its backlog.

  • Walmart pays Symbotic to automate its 42 regional distribution centers and funds development of systems that fulfill shoppers’ online pickup and delivery orders at its stores. Watch those store systems’ performance: Walmart’s commitment to buy 400 depends on defined performance requirements.

  • Honeywell competes with Symbotic for customers buying complete warehouse automation systems, but that business is only part of Honeywell’s operations across aerospace, industrial automation, buildings and energy. Its warehouse automation business is therefore more relevant to Symbotic than its overall sales growth.

  • Albertsons, which sells groceries and pharmacy products through stores and digital channels, buys Symbotic warehouse systems, so its distribution-center deployment decisions directly feed Symbotic’s revenue. Watch whether it expands those deployments or instead keeps manual processes or chooses systems that automate only individual tasks.

Agenda

in 2 daysThu, Oct 22

  1. Time to be announced

    Honeywell International, Inc. earningsHON

    Honeywell also competes for complete warehouse-automation projects, so any warehouse-specific results in its report can show whether customers are still investing in the kind of systems Symbotic sells.

in 30 daysThu, Nov 19

  1. Time to be announced

    Walmart Inc. earningsWMT

    Walmart is Symbotic’s largest customer, and its report can show whether the store systems for online pickup and delivery are performing and progressing well enough to support Walmart’s conditional purchase commitment.

in 34 daysMon, Nov 23

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Symbotic Inc. earningsThis company

    Most of Symbotic’s revenue comes from warehouse systems, and this report will show whether deployments are turning into revenue without installation costs eating away at gross profit.