Stock daily read

What happened with STEM today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

STEM in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Stem, Inc. helps project developers and asset owners run solar, battery-storage and combined solar-and-storage projects. Customers pay for recurring access to its PowerTrack software, which monitors performance and controls assets. Stem also sells on-site devices that collect data and connect equipment to the software. Its PowerTrack Optimizer supports services that operate storage systems and coordinate their use across energy markets; Stem also helps customers design, procure and commission systems. Engineering and construction firms and distributors also buy its offerings.

Software and services together account for most revenue, although hardware sales remain substantial. Stem is shifting toward software, connected devices and services, including AI-enabled offerings. It has reduced battery resales, formerly its largest revenue source, rather than ended them. The batteries and related components it resells come from outside manufacturers.

The business depends on customers adopting and renewing services and on the economics of their energy projects, including electricity rates and government incentives. Stem relies on a small group of significant customers, though no single customer dominates revenue, and on few equipment suppliers. It is not a regulated utility, but storage installations need permits and utility authorization to connect to the grid.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in STEM’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

STEM says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

Stem’s results hinge on solar and energy-storage asset owners adopting its monitoring, control and optimization software, edge devices and services as it moves away from reselling batteries.

Agenda

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Stem’s Fed rate decision matters because interest rates affect how attractive solar and storage projects are to customers buying its PowerTrack software, edge devices and services.

in 17 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Stem, Inc. earningsThis company

    Stem is shifting its focus from battery resales to software and services, and this report will show whether services can make up for weaker hardware revenue while protecting gross profit.