Stock daily read

What happened with STAG today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

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Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

STAG in three months: buy, wait or sell?

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In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

STAG Industrial buys industrial buildings and leases space to businesses. Rent supplies most of its revenue, alongside tenant reimbursements for property expenses. Under most leases, tenants bear most building operating costs, including taxes, insurance and maintenance, while STAG generally remains responsible for roofs and building structures.

Most of its properties have a single tenant, although no individual tenant supplies a large share of total rent. Income depends on tenants paying and renewing leases, and on finding replacement tenants at suitable rents. When a single-tenant building becomes vacant, its operating cash flow can disappear while STAG must cover property expenses until it finds a new tenant.

STAG is a real estate investment trust, or REIT. Maintaining that status requires it to distribute most of its taxable income to shareholders, limiting the cash it can retain for investment. It therefore relies mainly on borrowing and issuing debt or equity to fund property acquisitions, making access to outside capital an important part of the business.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in STAG’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

STAG says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • First Industrial Realty Trust and STAG both collect rent from businesses using industrial buildings and compete for tenants and properties to buy. Watch whether First Industrial raises rents on expiring leases or needs concessions to keep tenants: that helps gauge the leasing pressure STAG faces.

  • Prologis and STAG collect rent from industrial and logistics tenants, so U.S. leasing conditions matter to both. Prologis's rent changes as expiring leases reset to market rates offer a read on the rental-growth opportunity for STAG's new leases and renewals.

  • LXP Industrial Trust and STAG both lease U.S. industrial properties with tenants bearing much of the operating cost, so warehouse leasing conditions matter to both rental businesses. LXP's leased share of its Class A warehouse and distribution space is a useful check on demand, though some leases leave costs with the landlord.

  • EastGroup Properties and STAG both earn rent from U.S. industrial tenants, but EastGroup emphasizes smaller business-distribution facilities in high-growth markets. Its occupancy and concessions to tenants who need a particular location offer a narrower view of leasing demand than STAG's broader portfolio.

  • Terreno Realty and STAG both collect rent from industrial buildings occupied by one or multiple tenants, but Terreno concentrates on six U.S. coastal markets and also rents outdoor industrial storage land. Watch its warehouse and distribution leasing rather than treating land rentals as a direct comparison with STAG's building portfolio.

  • Rexford Industrial Realty and STAG both earn rent by leasing industrial properties to businesses, but Rexford's portfolio is entirely in Southern California infill markets. Its leasing news offers a local view of industrial demand, not a nationwide read on STAG's portfolio.

  • One Liberty Properties and STAG both collect rent from geographically spread industrial portfolios, with tenants responsible for substantial property expenses. Watch One Liberty's contractual rent increases alongside costs it still bears, since STAG's rental returns also depend on how much operating expense it can pass to tenants.

Agenda

in 2 daysWed, Oct 21

  1. Time to be announced

    EastGroup Properties Inc. earningsEGP

    EastGroup Properties's report will show whether tenants still want its small distribution properties in high-growth markets, a narrower check on demand for STAG's industrial space.

in 8 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    STAG INDUSTRIAL, INC. earningsThis company

    STAG earns rent from industrial buildings, and this report will show whether rent growth at existing properties is outpacing vacancies and operating costs.

in 9 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    The Fed’s rate decision signals the direction of borrowing costs; higher rates can raise interest expense on STAG’s $262 million of floating-rate debt not fixed with swaps, leaving less cash for distributions.