Stock daily read

What happened with SPCB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SPCB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

SuperCom helps public agencies and other customers identify, track and monitor people and assets. Its IoT business generates most of its revenue, combining devices, wireless connections and software. The PureSecurity Suite supports GPS tracking, home confinement and alcohol monitoring, while PureMonitor lets agencies manage monitoring through cloud-based software. Customers buy or rent equipment and pay for monitoring, typically per person per day or at a fixed monthly rate. Product sales bring in most revenue overall; services contribute a smaller share, including recurring support and maintenance.

Smaller businesses help governments enroll citizens, issue secure identity documents and manage border checks, and help organizations protect data on computers through Safend software.

Revenue is concentrated among a few large customers, so orders and renewals matter substantially. Many public-sector contracts require competitive bids and depend on government budgets; agencies can cancel contracts. Its wireless equipment must also meet applicable U.S. and European radio-frequency and power rules before it can be sold in those markets.

Read allShow less
Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SPCB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SPCB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

SuperCom’s results depend chiefly on winning and delivering government electronic-monitoring contracts, making BI (GEO Group), Buddi and Sentinel more relevant competitors to watch than the semiconductor companies supplied for comparison.

Agenda

in 23 daysThu, Nov 12

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    SuperCom, Ltd earningsThis company

    SuperCom’s report will show whether electronic-monitoring and other service revenue can keep pace with product sales, making revenue less dependent on equipment shipments and a few large contracts.