Stock daily read

What happened with SEB today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SEB in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Agricultural commodity trading and processing bring in most of Seaboard Corporation’s revenue. Seaboard Overseas and Trading Group buys grains and oilseeds from farmers and merchants, arranges transport, and delivers them to customers internationally. It also mills grain into flour and makes animal feed, with processing operations concentrated in Africa and South America. Another major business, Seaboard Foods, raises hogs, processes them and sells pork to food processors, foodservice operators, distributors and grocery stores in the U.S. and abroad.

Seaboard Marine is the other large revenue source. Importers and exporters pay it to move cargo between the U.S., the Caribbean, Central America and South America, including truck or rail connections to ports. What it earns depends on cargo volumes, freight rates, vessel-charter costs and fuel costs.

The smaller energy businesses earn in different ways. Seaboard Energy turns animal fats and vegetable oils into biodiesel and renewable diesel, selling fuel and environmental credits; its profitability depends on feedstock and diesel prices and government biofuel incentives. In the Dominican Republic, Seaboard’s generating barges sell electricity mainly to government-owned distributors. The government caps spot-market prices and determines which generators run, while natural gas for one operating barge comes from a single supplier. Seaboard also holds a non-controlling investment in turkey producer Butterball.

Across the agricultural businesses, earnings depend on the relationship between selling prices and input costs, especially grain used to feed livestock. Pork sales also face state animal-housing rules that can prohibit meat from non-compliant animals, even when they were raised elsewhere.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SEB’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SEB says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

The Andersons only partly reflects what drives Seaboard Corporation’s results, which also hinge on pork prices and feed costs, Caribbean and Latin American freight markets, renewable-fuel incentives and its Butterball turkey investment.

  • The Andersons buys, sells and handles corn, wheat and soybeans, so grain supply and trade volumes affect it alongside Seaboard Corporation’s commodity trading and milling business. Watch its Agribusiness grain-handling volumes and commodity trading margins for clues to conditions affecting Seaboard’s grain purchases, transport and sales.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Seaboard Corporation earningsThis company

    Pork ties up much of Seaboard's assets, and this report will show whether pork prices cover the costs of raising and buying hogs well enough to support profit.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Andersons Inc/The earningsANDE

    The Andersons' report will show how grain handling and trading are faring, offering clues to the conditions around Seaboard's grain purchases, transport and sales.