Stock daily read

What happened with SEAT today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SEAT in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Vivid Seats Inc. helps fans buy tickets to concerts, sports and theater, handling payment, ticket delivery and customer service for sellers. Its Marketplace business generates most of its revenue without owning the tickets it sells: buyers pay service and delivery fees when they order. It also arranges hotel-room and package bookings.

Most Marketplace revenue comes through its own properties, including the Vivid Seats app and website, Las Vegas-focused Vegas.com and Japan-based Wavedash. Distribution partners also offer tickets to their customers using Vivid Seats’ technology and fulfillment services. A smaller, separate Resale business buys tickets and sells them on secondary marketplaces, including its own, rather than simply connecting buyers and sellers.

Substantially all sales occur in the United States. The business depends on live events taking place, fans choosing to spend on attendance, and sellers and partners continuing to supply tickets and orders. Google and other search engines are important sources of customer traffic, while a single payment processor handles payments associated with nearly all revenue. Ticket resale also depends on what local laws and event rights holders permit: price caps, transfer bans and restrictions imposed by primary ticketing companies can limit the tickets available for resale.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SEAT’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SEAT says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Vivid Seats also competes with SeatGeek and TicketNetwork, absent from this list, for live-event ticket buyers, sellers and partners.

  • StubHub Holdings competes with Vivid Seats for fans buying resale tickets and sellers listing them; Vivid Seats connects the two sides and charges buyers service and delivery fees. Watch StubHub’s ability to retain sellers and offer a broad ticket selection, which helps it attract the same buyers.

  • Live Nation competes with Vivid Seats through ticketing, while its concert promotion business earns money from ticket buyers whose live-event demand also supports Vivid Seats’ transaction fees. Watch its concert ticket sales for a read on demand behind Vivid Seats’ concert revenue.

  • Liberty Live Holdings shares Vivid Seats’ exposure to concert and ticket demand through its approximately 30% stake in Live Nation as of December 31, 2025, rather than through a ticket marketplace of its own. Live Nation’s concert ticket sales are the demand signal to watch: it earns money from attendees, while Vivid Seats collects fees for arranging ticket purchases.

  • Madison Square Garden Entertainment depends on the concert and theater audiences that also drive Vivid Seats’ ticket transactions, earning money chiefly by charging promoters to use its venues and by producing live shows. Its concert and theater attendance offers a view of demand behind those two Vivid Seats revenue lines.

  • Madison Square Garden Sports sells Knicks and Rangers home-game tickets to fans, while Vivid Seats earns fees from fans buying live-sports tickets on its marketplace, giving both exposure to sports ticket demand and pricing. Watch its single-game ticket prices, which it adjusts during the season to match fan demand.

Agenda

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Vivid Seats pays floating interest on its $393.0 million first-lien loan, so the Fed’s policy-rate decision matters because it can shift borrowing costs and cash available for debt service.

in 10 daysFri, Oct 30

  1. Time to be announced

    Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. earningsMSGS

    MSG Sports’ single-game ticket prices will show whether Knicks and Rangers demand supports pricing, offering a read on the sports-ticket market where Vivid Seats charges buyers fees.

in 14 daysTue, Nov 3

  1. Time to be announced

    Live Nation Entertainment Inc. earningsLYV

    Live Nation’s concert ticket sales will show whether fans are buying live events, demand that can also drive Vivid Seats’ ticket transactions and buyer fees.

in 16 daysThu, Nov 5

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Vivid Seats Inc. earningsThis company

    Vivid Seats’ report will show whether its ticket marketplace can steady orders and revenue, and whether the costs of serving and attracting buyers are moving with transaction volume.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced

    StubHub Holdings, Inc. earningsSTUB

    StubHub’s seller retention and ticket selection will show how strongly it can attract the same buyers as Vivid Seats, revealing the competition between their resale marketplaces.