Stock daily read

What happened with SE today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SE in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Sea Limited runs Shopee, Monee and Garena. Shopee connects shoppers with sellers across Southeast Asia, Taiwan and Brazil. Sellers pay for advertising, transaction services and services such as logistics; these commerce services generate most of Sea’s revenue. Shopee also buys goods for resale through its own store. Orders depend on delivery through Shopee’s logistics operations and outside providers.

Monee lends to consumers and small businesses, including Shopee buyers and sellers, and provides payments and banking services. It earns mainly interest and fees from credit and banking, alongside fees from payments and other financial services. Shopee helps Monee acquire customers, but Monee also serves borrowers and merchants outside the marketplace. Lending depends on borrowers repaying and on access to funding; local rules restrict loan sizes in Thailand and interest and fees on peer-to-peer loans in Indonesia.

Garena develops and publishes online games, including games licensed from other developers. Players can play for free and pay for virtual items and season passes. Its own game Free Fire supplies the vast majority of gaming revenue and profit, making player engagement and spending on that title especially important. Sea relies primarily on Apple’s App Store and Google Play to distribute its apps and games. Government action has kept Free Fire unavailable on both stores in India.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SE’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SE says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

Sea’s results hinge on Southeast Asian and Brazilian online spending, consumer-loan growth and repayment, and Garena’s paying-player engagement—areas MercadoLibre and Grab capture only partly.

  • MercadoLibre challenges Sea’s Shopee for Brazilian online shoppers and sellers, and Monee for Latin American financial-services users; both commerce platforms connect buyers with sellers and also sell goods directly. Watch MercadoLibre’s marketplace fee revenue and Mercado Pago’s Brazilian user activity for signs of competitive pressure on Sea’s commerce and financial services.

  • Grab Holdings competes with Sea’s Monee in Southeast Asian payments, lending and digital banking, while demand for its deliveries reflects the same regional consumer spending that matters to Shopee’s online shopping business. Grab connects consumers with drivers and merchants and charges those partners fees and commissions; watch delivery-related fees after incentives for a read on spending, rather than treating them as a direct measure of Shopee sales.

Agenda

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    Mercado Libre, Inc earningsMELI

    MercadoLibre’s report will show what Brazilian sellers contribute in marketplace fees and how users engage with Mercado Pago, offering a read on the competition Sea’s Shopee and Monee face there.

in 21 daysTue, Nov 10

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Sea Limited earningsThis company

    Shopee is Sea’s largest business, and this report will show whether its e-commerce service revenue continues to cover the cost of running the marketplace.

in 28 daysTue, Nov 17

  1. Time to be announced

    Grab Holdings Limited earningsGRAB

    Grab’s report will show how Southeast Asian users engage with its financial services and deliveries: the first bears on Monee’s competition, while the second offers an indirect demand signal for Shopee.