Stock daily read

What happened with SBRA today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

SBRA in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

Sabra Healthcare REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust with properties in the United States and Canada, focused on skilled nursing, transitional care and senior housing. Rent from healthcare operators and fees paid by residents of its managed senior housing communities together provide most of its revenue, with rent the larger of the two sources.

At leased facilities, operators pay Sabra rent and cover property expenses such as maintenance, insurance and taxes. At managed senior housing communities, residents pay for accommodation and services, while Sabra pays third-party managers to run the communities. Sabra bears those communities’ operating costs, so their income depends on occupancy, resident fees and expenses, rather than simply collecting rent.

The leasing business depends on operators’ ability to pay. Many tenants rely on Medicare, Medicaid and private insurers for most of their revenue, linking Sabra’s rent collections to healthcare reimbursement and operators’ staffing costs. Sabra also relies on outside operators to meet care and licensing requirements. Replacing a tenant can require licenses and change-of-ownership approvals, delaying the resumption of rent.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in SBRA’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

SBRA says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer
  • Omega Healthcare Investors and Sabra compete to fund skilled nursing operators and lease them properties; both depend on those operators’ financial health to collect rent.

  • CareTrust REIT and Sabra both collect rent from skilled nursing and senior housing operators and earn income by financing those businesses. CareTrust’s rental income is worth watching for signs of how well these operators can meet their property bills.

  • National Health Investors mirrors Sabra’s mix of operator-paid rent, resident fees from managed senior housing and income from financing healthcare operators. Its senior housing resident-fee revenue offers a comparison for Sabra’s own exposure to occupancy and pricing.

  • LTC Properties and Sabra both earn rent from long-term care operators, fees from senior housing residents and income from operator financing, leaving both exposed to operators’ performance. Watch the terms LTC secures on smaller property deals: it says competition for widely marketed portfolios raises prices and lowers investment yields.

  • American Healthcare REIT’s senior health campuses serve the same senior housing and skilled nursing needs as properties in Sabra’s portfolio, with residents paying market rents. It shares in those campuses’ operating gains and losses, making their performance a useful comparison for Sabra’s managed senior housing.

  • Strawberry Fields REIT and Sabra both rely on skilled nursing operators to pay rent on properties where tenants also cover taxes, insurance and upkeep. Strawberry Fields receives monthly rent rather than facility operating income, so its rent collection is the closer comparison for Sabra’s leased nursing properties.

  • Welltower and Sabra both invest in operating senior housing and lease post-acute care properties to operators who pay rent and property expenses. Welltower’s senior housing occupancy and pricing offer a comparison for Sabra’s managed communities, while post-acute tenant health matters for rent collection.

  • Ventas and Sabra both participate directly in the performance of senior housing communities funded by resident fees, rather than only collecting rent from operators. Watch Ventas’s senior housing operating income after property expenses for a comparison with Sabra’s exposure to occupancy, resident pricing and labor costs.

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  • National Healthcare Properties and Sabra both own operating senior housing offering independent living, assisted living and memory care, exposing them to resident demand and fees. Watch National Healthcare Properties’ senior housing results rather than its outpatient medical business when comparing it with Sabra’s managed communities.

Agenda

in 7 daysTue, Oct 27

  1. Time to be announced

    Ventas, Inc. earningsVTR

    Ventas’s report shows how much senior-housing income remains after property costs, a comparison for operations at Sabra’s managed communities.

in 8 daysWed, Oct 28

  1. 2:00 PMET

    Fed Interest Rate Decision

    Sabra’s policy-rate exposure matters because higher rates can make its revolving and term-loan debt cost more to carry or refinance, reducing earnings.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    Sabra Healthcare REIT, Inc. earningsThis company

    Sabra collects rent and bears operating risk at some communities, so this report shows whether resident-fee growth can offset pressure on rental revenue.