Stock daily read

What happened with REAL today?

Why it moved
Explains possible causes using the day’s news and filings
Moving with the market?
Uses market moves and trading volume to assess what drove the change
What to watch next
The next thing that could change the call, and what to look for

No read yet

Uses news and trading volume to explain the day’s move and how it relates to the market.

Investment outlook

REAL in three months: buy, wait or sell?

Stop guessing. Get the call, a three-month target price, the best and worst cases, and a source for every claim.

In the report
  • Buy / Wait / Sell rating
  • 3-month target price
  • Bear · Base · Bull
  • vs. the market

Company

Company overview

The RealReal helps individuals and businesses sell luxury fashion, fine jewelry and watches through its online marketplace and retail stores. It handles authentication, photography, pricing and delivery rather than leaving those tasks to sellers. Buyers pay for the goods, and the company generally pays the consignor after the sale, keeping a portion of the proceeds. These consignment commissions provide the substantial majority of its revenue.

The business needs a steady supply of desirable goods from thousands of U.S. consignors, with repeat consignors supplying most of the goods sold by value. It also depends on buyers’ willingness to spend on luxury goods and trust its authentication. Secondhand-dealer licensing rules and restrictions on materials such as ivory and exotic-animal skins can limit which goods it sells and where it can sell or ship them.

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Source: SEC filing

Red flags

Know what’s buried in REAL’s filings before you buy

The risk section is the longest, dullest part of the filing. This keeps only what can really hurt you: where it hits, how hard, when it plays out.

Sorted into
  • Happening now
  • Could go wrong
  • Built in

Moat

REAL says it has a moat. Does it hold up?

Every company claims an edge. Each one is checked against hard numbers like margins and returns: which hold, and which line gives way first.

Each edge rated
  • Strong
  • Moderate
  • Limited
  • Unproven

Related companies

  • Competition
  • Shared drivers
  • Supplier
  • Customer

TheRealReal’s results hinge on demand for secondhand luxury goods and consignor supply; watch Vestiaire Collective, an important luxury-resale rival missing from this list.

  • ThredUp competes with TheRealReal for buyers and people supplying items to sell: both handle resale on sellers’ behalf and keep part of the proceeds, but TheRealReal focuses on luxury goods. Watch ThredUp’s U.S. clothing, shoe and accessory consignment sales for a read on secondhand demand beyond luxury.

  • Winmark and TheRealReal both depend on consumers buying secondhand clothing and supplying used wardrobes for resale. Winmark collects royalties from operators of its apparel-resale franchise stores, while TheRealReal sells luxury goods for consignors and keeps a share of the proceeds.

  • Savers Value Village offers a view of secondhand clothing and accessory demand at different price points from TheRealReal’s luxury resale business. It buys donated goods from nonprofit partners and resells them to store shoppers or wholesale buyers, so watch clothing sales while keeping its donation-based supply distinct from TheRealReal’s consignor supply.

Agenda

in 9 daysThu, Oct 29

  1. Time to be announced
    Major

    The RealReal, Inc. earningsThis company

    The RealReal keeps a share of luxury resale proceeds, and this report will show whether marketplace growth is bringing in more revenue while narrowing its operating loss.

in 15 daysWed, Nov 4

  1. Time to be announced

    ThredUp Inc. earningsTDUP

    ThredUp's report will show whether its U.S. consignment sales of clothing, shoes and accessories are rising or falling, giving The RealReal a read on resale demand beyond luxury.